Is there an expectation of a 20" storm here? There has only been 1 since 1880 and it was in 1886. 1 in Flint in 67 and 2 in Saginaw in 67 and 78. This isn't a location that even remotely sniffs 20" storms ever. Boston does because they have the luxury of the ocean and Nor'easters. This isn't a reservation on you just on the discussion in general. I don't know why the same people bring this up seemingly every year and multiple times a year. It is like they never read climo for the region.
4.8" at home 4.9" here at Metro. Not the biggest storm but not bad and this storm had a decent amount of liquid so it won't just melt or sublimate away quickly.
Nah this is a good point, any snow we get today will help keep the column moistened for the brunt of the storm tomorrow. With it so cold outside right now we will inevitably be fighting dry air.
It will be more than that but those 2 counties and Wayne might be warning criteria if the overnight models are to be believed, did have a positive shift back north some.
It does look like the clipper train could at least keep things wintry through the next week, remains to be seen how much accumulates, down wind of the lakes should win either way though.
Watching Michigan for an ice potential on Friday, both the Euro and GFS are showing pretty significant icing for Friday as a system slides to our south.
Figured we should actually have a devoted thread for this, should be a solid hit for most of Wisconsin and Michigan, in the 4-7" range. Decent amount of wind behind the system as well.
You are going to be fine especially in Northern Macomb, also the 12z gfs didnt go north it actually got wetter and nudged south. Most of the 12z suite moved south.
GFS has the Canadian models agreeing with it, the euro is a bit north but would still hit the northern suburbs, the mesoscale models like the NAM and HRRR are the ones far to the north.