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Stebo

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Stebo

  1. Is there an expectation of a 20" storm here? There has only been 1 since 1880 and it was in 1886. 1 in Flint in 67 and 2 in Saginaw in 67 and 78. This isn't a location that even remotely sniffs 20" storms ever. Boston does because they have the luxury of the ocean and Nor'easters. This isn't a reservation on you just on the discussion in general. I don't know why the same people bring this up seemingly every year and multiple times a year. It is like they never read climo for the region.
  2. 4.8" at home 4.9" here at Metro. Not the biggest storm but not bad and this storm had a decent amount of liquid so it won't just melt or sublimate away quickly.
  3. Its snowing here 7 hours ahead of schedule and already down to 2SM at DTW, under 5dBZ radar returns. I smell an overperformer coming.
  4. Lol, no Clinton Township is not getting a dusting. Also aren't you in Florida, you aren't getting snow there.
  5. Nah this is a good point, any snow we get today will help keep the column moistened for the brunt of the storm tomorrow. With it so cold outside right now we will inevitably be fighting dry air.
  6. It will be more than that but those 2 counties and Wayne might be warning criteria if the overnight models are to be believed, did have a positive shift back north some.
  7. Trending the way it has today sucks, I guess its turning into another boring 2-4 maybe 3-6.
  8. Unlike Joe, I do think Chicago cashes in, but more than like by means of lake effect.
  9. I would add most of KS/MO/IL/rest of IN/and most of S MI east of 23 or south of 94
  10. Euro nudged back up locally and the AIEuro definitely went up. Everything tells you what you should already know, toss the GFS's garbage ass.
  11. Perfectly content with where I sit currently, all but the GFS are hitting us with around 6-10"
  12. It does look like the clipper train could at least keep things wintry through the next week, remains to be seen how much accumulates, down wind of the lakes should win either way though.
  13. This run of the GFS had a very wide sleet zone for some reason. I feel like it's going to either be snow or freezing rain, with very minimal sleet.
  14. Watching Michigan for an ice potential on Friday, both the Euro and GFS are showing pretty significant icing for Friday as a system slides to our south.
  15. I drove my 92 tempo up hill both ways to campus back then
  16. What, lmao. It took an act of god to delay or close CMU when I was there back in the 2000s.
  17. Had 2.8" at home and it had switched to rain, side streets were a mess but the freeway was fine.
  18. Figured we should actually have a devoted thread for this, should be a solid hit for most of Wisconsin and Michigan, in the 4-7" range. Decent amount of wind behind the system as well.
  19. You are going to be fine especially in Northern Macomb, also the 12z gfs didnt go north it actually got wetter and nudged south. Most of the 12z suite moved south.
  20. Obviously the HRRR came south and weaker at 12z, that was to be expected, the NAMs also came south some as well with the snow shield.
  21. Yeah I am doubting a 973mb low through the straits.
  22. GFS has the Canadian models agreeing with it, the euro is a bit north but would still hit the northern suburbs, the mesoscale models like the NAM and HRRR are the ones far to the north.
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