Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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GFS took out any Min Max records for next week but it has often brought them back so watching for that.
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Lancaster getting good stuff but having a tough time making it up to you.
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Double digit lollipop. Models underdone. Throw them out.
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6-8" down at Skyline Drive area
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It was just one run of the nam. A good old fashioned namming. Next run you had less than an 1" as the main area moved a bit south. But for posterity's sake:
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Windows open!
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All we can do is look at where that low goes (how close). Not sure you get a ton of rain unless all the models are wrong. Is that why you mentioned low humidity? LOL. To set up no rain :-)?
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I think we are entering a great summer two weeks!
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Way to go big money!
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About .85" in close to 30 min.
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They are "moving" West and North more than anything vs East. I think Hburg gets more involvement once the SLP gets closer tonight.
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It is intense. Too much so if you ask me. Over near Manchester MD there is apparently flash flooding ongoing.
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We are finally getting the goods over here. Florida downpour worthy rain. Definitely going to be some street and possible stream flooding.
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Dude, that view is incredible. I love West Coast (of Florida) beaches but that pic makes me want to jump in the car and head east.
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How is this for a stat. On today's 12Z GFS, MDT does not hit 80 (after today) on any map, including all 18Z panels, until June 24th! A two week punt of above average temps.
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I did not notice your location change until now. Were you posting in the NC forum? :-)
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There are showers ripping around that Upper Low. If any faster paced rain developed in NY, especially in a storm situation with strong downdrafts, there could graupel as soundings show it below freezing below 800MB. How much for Albany?
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I did not notice that, great catch. 540 line in PA mid June is probably fairly rare. DP at MDT is mostly in the 40's and 50's next week.
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Next week is shaping up to be great temp and Dp wise. A little brrrr one night. High DP's flushed out Sunday night. MDT very close to breaking two daily min records based on this GFS run. June 16 and 17.
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I think some of the rain into tomorrow will be slower and more strat like you wanted. This is more for today's storms which are now firing up.
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NWS pulled the trigger Flood Watch National Weather Service State College PA Issued by National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1147 AM EDT Thu Jun 10 2021 * Flash Flood Watch for a portion of central Pennsylvania, including the following areas, Adams, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Cumberland, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, Lancaster, Somerset and York. Interesting says our southern friends issued it.
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SO the GFS joins the 2-4" for a large chunk of Central and Western LSV bandwagon. A bit less for the Burg and East. If we get shut out over here this will be one spectacular failure.
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Hopefully travels are safe. Glad you had great weather up until now.
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@CarlislePaWx just got a old fashioned Namming. Its not done accumulating yet but he is already pushing 5" tomorrow afternoon
