Bubbler86

After tomorrow's mid 80's, nothing remotely close to 90 degrees at MDT, on the 12z GFS, until June 19th. A couple nights in or near the 40's next week.

Canderson stole your rain? Actually I would think his cell hits you if it does not fizzle.

Interesting to see on radar...that cell was almost due east of New Bloomfield and once it hit the river it transferred and reformed over the 'Burg.

North Harrisburg getting downpoured on.

I have noticed, the last week or two, that the global models (all of them) are doing terribly at predicting the pop up convection type rains we have seen recently. Broad brushing qpf for everyone. Unfortunately in the last few days the non global Nam is doing the same thing. Make using of most traditional models, for qpf forecast, fairly useless. Re: here is what the 12Z Nam says we see this afternoon. Almost every mile of PA gets rain. Let me know when it happens. I understand the lower resolution models will broad brush a bit too much but this is beyond broad brushing and just outright wrong (at least the last week or so).

Yea, I like the refreshing periods up here where a front passes through and it may get up into the 70's due to summer sun but the nights can get into the 50's. If there is moisture around, the nights are not comfortable. The problem is even if its 70's/50's, the sun is going to dry out the ground and the low humidity will make the ground moisture even worse so a no rain but good feeling summer is bad for the farms.

But it rarely stays that high every single day. We get summer cold fronts here. DP's in the 40's possible this weekend.

Wow, its only 74 over here. Still steamy though. You must have sun for it to be that high.

Ha. The thing that I do not like about this regime is that Lancaster and York always seem to be the winners....similar to tornado alley down there. The summer of 2020 was like this much of the season and I got very little out here.

Euro stole the CMC's thunder albeit it a bit south. Not really believable in the pop up cell regime we are in right now.

66 this AM and a little wetness on the pavement so we got a random shower...not enough to make a difference though. Hoping clouds and rain keep it low to maybe mid 80's today.

Does it get to 60 outside the UHI areas on Friday?

Sox just swept the Yanks so that deserves a mention.

Keep seeing insistence of an early morning (late night) line of rain for the LSV. Hoping to wake up to a wet driveway.

Seabreeze storms :-)

Even if we got slightly below normal it would be a boon right now. But I can never put too much faith in those maps. Though technically quite a bit of the CMC precip falls before this map applies.

Williamsport for double digits. After its failure with this "heat wave" I cannot post it until it redeems itself.

I am sure he is thrilled.

87/72 here at 3PM. Mostly Cloudy. Feels worse than Sat or Sun. Still hoping we see more shower activity pop up soon.

Numbers could be close to half that on Friday.

Feels like 112 would be advisory numbers. I have seen a lot of UHI this Spring/early summer but not to that extent. Probably some cloud cover related differences re: West LSV is all in mid to upper 80s.

Nam 3K has two line of storms spin up this afternoon and tonight...for the LSV or just west of the LSV.

Yea, over here it feels worse now than any any point over the weekend due to that DP. 81/71 right now. Maybe that is a precursor to rain this afternoon.

A sticky and warm 70 this AM

The king is dead. Not only did the CMC and Icon torch, the extent of the heat wave on the CMC, Icon and Euro were week long or so. But yea definitely want the rain.