Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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I actually check every map and think of you, at least the last day, before posting it. We are just as likely to get a lot of rain as snow right now ourselves.
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So in the end we got our double WWA/WSW anyway.
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Trying to keep the good vibes going the GFS is actually not that bad on the front end. Supports the WSW issued. Take an inch or so off this to account for tonight but Lancaster county is surprising good.
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It is not out on TT yet. Rgem is and it is wet or icy with 2M up in N Pa. I am not sure I remember any Canadian run being at the front of a trend too often.
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Moving a bit NE so I think you see it in 10-15. Just left a coating here. Part II of the first part is just behind it.
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This place is like a virus when it gets the Mets to say Caved. LOL. I hope you are not getting "fatties" right now.
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The 18Z GFS moves/transfers/retrogrades the Low into South Central VA now. It is still too late, at least using the GFS output, to save us from turnover but we are still far enough out to keep open the possibility of that transfer happening earlier. Where the low at the same time frame of 12Z was in the panhandle of WV is it near Richmond now. This would jive with Mag's and Millvilles calls for a mostly icy result.
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Steady snow here now...medium sized flakes.
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If you give me $30/MO (Paypal) I can fix that for you. :-)
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Icon snow panel...actually not that far off from other models as this includes tonight. Icon is just cold for the wet part of the storm as it transfers/drives the low into S VA.
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The previous panel is colder in some locales
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TT does not have all the panels yet but this should suffice for shock.
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Extreme Surface Temps Monday Morning (Icon)
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Every person needs a place to hang their hat and that is our place today.
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I think they will fly right away as well....32 with a DP of 27. Just a bit west of me still.
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The Icon is still going to be our Icon at 18Z. Snow maps should be fun to look at.
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I think it is extremely uncomfortable to go out in rain or sleet so in this case, especially since it is the weekend, I will try to time when the dry slot comes through but before the hounds of winter come rolling in to lock in whatever is still on the driveway. I have to do about 1/8" of a mile with a shovel. LOL. I refuse to get a blower.
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18Z Nam did not budge in phasing this thing but keeps ground temps close to freezing through much of it so Ice. But it eventually does the transfer so there is still a chance it is doing it to late.
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And by waffling I did not mean disrespect so I should say softening.
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Is Horst waffling to a colder scenario?
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Less phasing...
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One could argue that it is less progressive. 12-24 hours behind the GFS. But I was posting for the fun of it since this has been a week of model hounding.
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The 12Z NAVGEM holds back the southern vort, less or no phase, and slides it off the SC coast. Congrats Charlotte! LOL.
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Cannot not talk about Accuweather without throwing Elliot Abrams some air time. He is from Philly. Though, I cannot tell you how often, in the 90's mainly, it would start snowing in Philly and he would crush my hopes by getting on KYW and pointing out how warm it was in NC and that was what was coming our way.
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Sure and for me it is all about the trends especially this close in so trend wise it is not looking so good.
