EC is cold considering it is the EC after the front passage next week. Portends to more 40's possible. Both EC and GFS are way too dry (LSV, not W PA) for my liking through 240.
It depends on who is watching. If Voyager makes the call we may pay :-). But in our defense we just hoped for cold/cool weather without belittling anyone in the process.
Was worried that lack of 12Z GFS chatter meant the heat was trying to slip back in but then saw this mid day super front passage FTW. More firewood. Take that Astro Summer.
Well during the lull I guess anything can be interesting. HRRR says MDT just misses 40's tonight. Will be a slam dunk for colder locations though. I expect 45-47ish here. It is still only 61 right now here with full sun at 9:30.
EC grazes the southern part of the LSV with the trop moisture but the N/W side is shaved off due to the influence of a much stronger SLP in S/E Canada (with snow!). So one jog south and we are dry for the next 10 days on the EC.
Only catch is that it potentially would be dry just due to the nature of the situation. Low DP's mean less chance of afternoon convection so relying upon frontal rains
The 6Z was just so "anti heat wave" though. Jns2183 said no 90 through June 29th and its actually no 80 as to graphics. . MDT does not hit 80 once on the 18Z maps. Would surely creep into the low 80's a couple days later but fairly amazing not seeing one 80 for two weeks.