Bubbler86

Steady rain up to 35 in Gettysburg. Staying over here for the night...little getaway.

Another map...hopefully it is not annoying anyone but this is the best chance for a foot this season. 18Z EC showing snow depth map of 8-12" over Central PA...a bit less in eastern LSV.

Yea I should have said biggest storm of the season but the setup looked like 8+ inches several days ago and I think we are still in play for that. Will need to be under the convergence of the WAA and the conveyor belt bringing in extras from the west.

We are trending to a mostly snow in today's models. If we can avoid the low winding up too much to our west I think Cad is going to make this the biggest snow of the season.

Yep.

Well I am glad, at least for the mood of the forum and my own mood, that the conveyor belt of moisture from the gulf idea is back on the table. If you look at the Euro and Nam you will see people who get under this will be the winners if today's prog's come to fruition. I think there would be some 1 foot measurements in Central PA. The precip fills into the south eventually but those under the WAA firehose will already be into WSW criteria before the fill in happens. A lot of the positives today are based on the lack of phasing/amping up of the low in the mid west.

Quick ob...light rain and 34 in Gettysburg

Hard to tell with the NAM clown maps on TT but would guess 18Z is 6-10" of snow for much of PA followed by major sleet.

Euro wallops Pitt so even they are still in this game...not often that happens.

This is the 0Z Euro snow depth map. Surprised me seeing with 8-12 again for some. Evolving situation here...no system really winding up to the west so the CAD, at all levels, is holding strong on the progs right now.

No doubt I am not speaking down to the event just not sure we see real accumulating snow.

12Z Nam is an LSV special for mid week. 4-8" (highest in Adams county, surprise!...Not! Check out how that finger of 6-8" reach down to @Cashtown_Coop)

I would bet this snow map is more realty than 1-3" area wide. More ice.

Globals generally show a 2-6" snowfall followed by ice for the Eastern 1/2 of the state midweek.

Well the 12Z Nam does not appear to be routing out the cold air as quickly for mid week. Moderate snow has already invaded the S/W part of the LSV at 84 and it appears to be advancing. A big snow in Central VA. 6-10" there. Question in extrapolating will be whether the energy and WAA that produced the MECS down there will die out a bit as it runs into drier air. Next model out goes farther in time and I connot wait to see it!

Yea, on the NAM TT snow maps show 2-4" but I would think it would mostly be ice. A healthy .25 to .5 qpf. Time for a WWA. Just checked the column and can see 500MB is probably too warm for snow when the qpf is here. This convo is specific to tomorrow night.

May get nammed around 9:30 this evening.

I am still excited about the prospects of next week as to wintry weather but worried our MEC's may be in trouble. GFS is just strung out this afternoon but still 4-5 days away. I think the biggest thing the GFS shows it is getting near 70 next weekend. THAT is a torch!

I do not think we need to worry about that with all the rain the GFS shows next weekend (consistently for several runs in a row).

12Z GFS is a very ridge dependent 1-4" snow (depending on snow map) followed by moderate ice then a bit of rain for much of the LSV for next week. Not a great run...much less qpf into the cold part of the storm than before.

GFS is just plain rain for the LSV much of the time...this ice map is a better presentation of the threat for tomorrow. Mostly a windshield wiper event east of the mountains.

Wow. I guess with both events combined 6" was not too much over progs. I had thought 1-2 then 2-4 (storm 2) for us but was thinking we would really be the 1 and 2 and only get 3-4" total down here. I am around until mid March if all goes as planned now.

You are probably golden either way...did I read that you were the jackpot for the previous one? LOL. Leading into it we looked like 1-2 and quick turnover.

We are travelling a bit tomorrow as well but not sure the roads will be a big issue (even up there) since this is happening during the day . Would have to snow hard to accumulate in the 30's. Hopefully it works out for you (and me!).

I am watching the MA Banter thread with interest as people are bitching and moaning about the board being its worst ever. This board is a paradise to some previous WWBB and EUS versions. Joe Bartlo, DT Unleashed, JohnC1282, etc...we always talk about HM's twitter posts well that Bullshit drove him away from this board. I think this whole thing worked much better when it was not moderated. Of course there was a lot of trash but people spoke their minds and were not afraid to do so. That allowed a lot less butt hurt than the overly sensitive posts today. No worrying about how to post or say certain things. There used to be some really high level MET's like HM, PT, and TQ who would give us all free weather insight and the drama of moderated boards drove them away. Not sure why so many of them used two letter monikers. LOL. The Met's we have now are great but they are few and far between in these regional boards.