Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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The Icon is still going to be our Icon at 18Z. Snow maps should be fun to look at.
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I think it is extremely uncomfortable to go out in rain or sleet so in this case, especially since it is the weekend, I will try to time when the dry slot comes through but before the hounds of winter come rolling in to lock in whatever is still on the driveway. I have to do about 1/8" of a mile with a shovel. LOL. I refuse to get a blower.
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18Z Nam did not budge in phasing this thing but keeps ground temps close to freezing through much of it so Ice. But it eventually does the transfer so there is still a chance it is doing it to late.
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And by waffling I did not mean disrespect so I should say softening.
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Is Horst waffling to a colder scenario?
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Less phasing...
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One could argue that it is less progressive. 12-24 hours behind the GFS. But I was posting for the fun of it since this has been a week of model hounding.
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The 12Z NAVGEM holds back the southern vort, less or no phase, and slides it off the SC coast. Congrats Charlotte! LOL.
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Cannot not talk about Accuweather without throwing Elliot Abrams some air time. He is from Philly. Though, I cannot tell you how often, in the 90's mainly, it would start snowing in Philly and he would crush my hopes by getting on KYW and pointing out how warm it was in NC and that was what was coming our way.
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Sure and for me it is all about the trends especially this close in so trend wise it is not looking so good.
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There is a chance today's snow will be the only snow we see as to stuff that accumulates. Unfortunate. Tracking is fun but the letdowns suck.
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I suspect the Euro is going to show very little snow for the LSV. 2-4" type west of Susq. and 0-2 East. Euro followed the days trend.
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Just showed up on MA. Surely some sleet in there but hug away.
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Have not seen any UKMET snowfall maps but the path of the low was similar to the 0Z Euro. If today's Euro somehow holds ground it would be good to see what the UK really put down and it is is totally rain or has a front end thump. .
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Latest HRRR snowfall totals for tonight.
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What we really need is a high pressure to magically appear in South Eastern Canada and make the next Low decide to lateral the ball off to the South and East coast instead of bumping bellies with the high.
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It is so weak it basically washes out but 700MB maps show it going south of us through southern VA and eventually "re-energizing", if you can call it that, when it gets into the Atlantic.
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Seems to me that this is a Saturday and Saturday night event with the faster depictions. A little left over rain or snow flakes as the cold comes in Sunday AM.
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Thanks I did peek at it. If we had true arctic air to work with we would be in a much better position but with our fairly mild air we cannot survive a southerly wind the whole time a storm climbs to our latitude. We need the transfer to lessen the damage.
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The trajectory is from the SW vs. going under PA. Allows more time for southerly wind to scour our column.
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It would be a shock if the Euro is anything other than a brief period of snow and sleet into flooding rains. Game is not over...still 48 hours but today is not going to be good it appears.
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These depictions of LP's driving into SW PA will really cut down the freezing rain fear for most of the state.
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Unfortunately we do not have any room for NW movement (snow) so the UK is probably going to be an ice storm. We need it to be 200-300 miles SE of the GFS.
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The North American models shut this forum down. I agree if our European Allies do not come through it is cricket time. Right now all we have is the Axis Japan and Germany (Until the 18Z name, LOL).
