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frd

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Everything posted by frd

  1. It has weakened and looks to remain so. This next attempt may simply help achieve another round of -AO and hopefully a - NAM state extension or another cycle of it during the month of February.
  2. Hmmm. Pac extension , cyclonic wave breaking, develop Aleutian High and potentially another strat hit.
  3. I know about suppression but of all the models the GFS showing this concerns me the least.
  4. Yes, Feb. may not be a shutout. Regarding March, I am intrigued if we can maintain the - NAO going into March when the wavelengths shorten. Who knows maybe the coldest to average temps could sneak into that time period. Being a shoulder month with a weaker vortex and another Pac retraction. Here is mid Feb
  5. @psuhoffman Even going into early Feb , not bad. You said it would be decent until the retrogression gets us to around the 3 rd. Here we are at the 5 th,
  6. Looking further into Feb. hopefully the retraction delivers by early Feb, then we may go the other way with a Pac extension.
  7. I would think a few days after this could be the event of the - AO cycle
  8. I be more comfortable with a Key West snowstorm
  9. Trusting the GFS and its ensembles means that you are certain is has Canada all figured out...... NOT
  10. 4 High pressure systems and rain to my door step. can't believe this crap
  11. If I got 15 inches of snow the next 15 days I be talking the next ice age.
  12. Yes, but before that, even if true, are several opportunities for us to get some snow.
  13. @psuhoffman the positives keep getting eliminated.. I am speculating whether we have hit the lowest point of the - AO cycle this winter. Maybe in a few days we achieve the lowest - SD.
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