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frd

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Everything posted by frd

  1. frd
    I hope Feb is going to be epic. We have had a severe - NAO, juiced up STJ, a severe - AO and nothing to show for it except flood issues. One issue after another. Cruel hobby for sure.
  2. frd
    As I said before, just because the GFS shows a snowy solution for three days in a row it really means nothing. Euro for the win yet again. Persistence does not mean the GFS is going to be correct. This is not the first time the Euro schooled the GFS, and it will not be the last.
  3. frd
    GFS persistence does not equal superiority. We shall see.
  4. frd
    Interesting
  5. frd
    Looks wintery
  6. frd
    You think us in the low lands can still score a significant snowfall or will this be mostly higher terrain event.
  7. frd
    Could trend North. What our thoughts on that ? Also connected NAO and WAR gone . Also looks like cross polar flow. Hope not cold and dry. Baroclinic zone might help us possibly. Damn I just want snow.
  8. frd
  9. frd
    Appears regardless of meeting the criteria for an official SSWE ( u wind reversal ) just the fact that the PV continues under pressure and will likely remain weak is the main takeaway according to Tomer and Dr Lee.
  10. frd
    You think the lowlands have a chance with this one ? Seems we are battling another cutter or suppression. A fine balancing act.
  11. frd
    That storm, and the date Jan 17th, fits perfectly with Tomer's - NAO post.
  12. frd
    HM
  13. frd
    Colder air will move in. As many have stated here, the period of interest is from the 15 th to the 20 th, or possibly to near the 23 rd.
  14. frd
    Calm down Ryan
  15. frd
    My area is 15 to 30 inches. Hopefully a few moderate events and one MECS gets me to 30 inches. Thanks for the update.
  16. frd
    Nice visual - here comes the cold, the animation loop stops on Tuesday Jan 17 th . Looks 6 to 8 degrees above normal at that time.
  17. frd
    I read Judah's post and was like what ?? Most reliable professional mets are calling for a weak PV.
  18. frd
    Billions of isobars. Like a dark hole.
  19. frd
  20. frd
    For illustrative purposes only, but that insane HL blocking regime going across Northern Canada would most likely result ( if correctly modeled) a snow pattern that would run West to East at a fairly lower lattitude. Something like this possibly.
  21. frd
    Bluewave had mentioned in the past that the SER/WAR is effecting colder airmasses moving East and tends to cause issues with certain types of NAO blocks where the NAO hooks up with the SER. So many ways to lose and too few to win off of these days.
  22. frd
    I really need to move to Seattle for my full of snow and arctic cold.
  23. frd
    When the PNA was neutral the entire North America continent was warm, not we have cold building in Canada but a - PNA.
  24. frd
    Where was the Holiday period snow storms. WeatherBell seasonal not doing well.
  25. frd
    What do you think about Feb ? Some forecasters who went with above normal snow totals really need Feb to deliver. Here the streak of less than 1 inch of snow is insanely long. Changes in the West Pac, hyper warm pool, marine heatwaves, and warmth everywhere is screwing up the outcomes with this Nino.
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