From the NWS in Taunton
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...HIGHLIGHTS* POTENTIAL WINTER STORM SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.SPECIAL NOTE AT 1140 AM...WE HAVE GOTTEN A GOOD LOOK AT THE 12ZNAMAS WELL AS A QUICK LOOK AT THE 12Z GFS THROUGH TUESDAY /SO FAR/. WEHAVE SEEN THE DRAMATIC TREND THAT THE GFS HAS TAKEN ON THIS RUN...ASWELL AS THE W TREND ON THE NAM/THOUGH REMAINING WELL S OF THEBENCHMARK/. WE WANTED TO NOTE THAT WE HAVE RECEIVED MESSAGES FROMHPC ABOUT INITIALIZATION PROBLEMS ON BOTH THE NAM AND GFS RUNS THISMORNING. HAVING WORKED ON THIS DESK FOR THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS...ONETHING THAT HAS SHOWN THROUGH IS THE LACK OF RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCYBETWEEN INDIVIDUAL MODELS. WHILE WE ARE NOT RULING OUT A SHIFT TOTHE W...WE DO NOT WANT TO JUMP ON THE BANDWAGON EITHER. WANT TOWAIT UNTIL WE GET A LOOK AT THE ECMWF RUN BEFORE MAKING ANY MAJORCHANGES