Above average is above average. Doesn't need to be 50. But it's not like I don't get your point. +4 in Barrow, Alaska is frigid this time of year and around here +4 in Janaury doesn't necessarily mean "mild".
That's not really true. The playing field is a mess. Even if there is a phase for that 12th(ish) threat, any s/w that comes flying down could easily deamplify things and ruin the party.
He's not correct though. Plenty of storminess on all the ensembles. I'm not a big fan of anything until after mid month but the 12th(ish) could work out.
Literally no one. But that pattern is coming. That doesn't mean it will produce though.
Start threads whenever you wish. You won't often hear that from moderators on these forums. You have earned your place in and the respect of the wx community through your years of hard work. Do your thing. We absolutely love having you here.