WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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https://twitter.com/burgwx/status/1975729785394635218?s=46&t=JYOHM881b6groqc0-RqtxA
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Big jump on the euro suite
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Euro almost completely skunks Baltimore and a stripe of central MD to NoVA
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6z euro was close to the area. Much farther north than 0z. 12z gfs soaks the eastern parts of the area, but brutal gradient for DC and points west.
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Getting major “prepare for disappointment” vibes for tonight based on newest guidance
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Also might have a handful of model runs D5+ that impact us
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lol what a joke. I’ve tuned out his coach speak for 5+ years, but gimme a damn break. Who’s the audience for this nonsense?
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Meanwhile, GGEM shifted way east
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Maybe I just hadn’t noticed yet, but overnight runs jumped on this coastal low giving us rain this weekend. Looking back, 18z Saturday Euro AI was the first run to pull it west enough for rain in the metro areas, but overnight 0z runs are really the first showing rain on the physics-based models.
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I’m intrigued
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Yeah he has to go. And Orr too. The level of talent on paper is too high for this pathetic performance.
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What a wasted failed season
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
WxUSAF replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
What an embarrassing loss. Just totally exposed as frauds. -
Pathetic
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Ensembles all build a respectable -NAO D10+. Right now only GEPS shows an eastern trough response concurrently, but maybe EPS and GEFS move that way?
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Ask him a climate change question about declining snow totals
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3 straight mornings in the 40s, which shouldn’t be very remarkable for October.
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Most recent Ninas in the last 20 years have included at least one cold and snowy period of 2-4 weeks. Although much of the rest of the winter is pretty meh. Based on ENSO and other factors, I think one of the “good” Ninas is probably the ceiling for this year. But a dead ratter is also well within the realm of the possible.
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But more snow than last year. That would be a respectable Nina winter if so. Outside the 95-96 fluke, high teens snowfall totals for most of the area is a “good” Nina. Honestly I’d take a repeat of last winter. January was a really good month and we had the late February heartbreak that could have made it an excellent year if it went the other way.
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My crappy PWS says 43.5. Closest other one says 45 which is probably more reasonable.
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Days like today is why October is our best weather month outside the occasional snowy winter month.
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That Clarksville site is a really good radiator. Wonder if the new Lisbon location will be similar.
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Nearly all the mesonet stations have reached the 40s. 47.6 IMBY
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Guidance hinting that late next week could be first legit cold front
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Front going through? Clouds trying to clear and a little breeze out of the NE.
