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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Looking at Pivotal maps, maybe not. TT was tricking me. It’s basically M/D line.
  2. Well, looks like GGEM maybe has 1” north of DC Wednesday afternoon/evening? More for mountains. GGEM has a brutal gradient north of DC for precip tomorrow though.
  3. I’m not believing in this Wednesday evening snow until I see some other guidance show it
  4. Yeah 3-6/4-6 seems right. Less than 1/6.
  5. Ooof. Northern edge gradient is not kind.
  6. Hrrr gets temps up to upper 30s/near 40 tomorrow. Hope that’s wrong.
  7. Icon is north from 6z and 0z. Not sure it matters since it’s the icon
  8. If it was different from the globals in track, precip totals, etc. I’d probably still be a little skeptical at this point? But it’s not. I think it’s been steady and in line with the globals so I think it’s very much worth factoring into forecasts.
  9. 3k is basically better for everyone vs last few runs. Would be a big win if it verified.
  10. 3k soundings look nice for metro areas. Comes in hot and heavy. Ripping in the 5-8pm window.
  11. Think we’re pretty much at noise level run to run changes. Each one may make a difference for someone’s backyard, but I don’t think there’s been any real “trend” in any direction for 24 hours or so. At this point, bigger differences are going to be due to ratios, whether any precipitation is lost to melting tomorrow afternoon, banding, etc
  12. Eagles defense playing out of their minds
  13. I’ve been cooking so late to the game, but took a look at 3k soundings Tuesday evening. Quite nice looking with deep DGZ, good lift and cold column.
  14. Erase that 6-8” and make 8-10” the 6-8” with a bit of an eastward extension and I like it
  15. Ok, backyard penis size snow measuring contest can end now
  16. GGEM looks quite nice to my eye. I like the slightly slower shift on 12z guidance. Not much precip for MBY before sunset.
  17. Obviously he won’t win unless the eagles win
  18. I want Saquon to be MVP and that’s all I’m really rooting for
  19. 3k ends just as things start for the metros. But based on height lines out west, I’d say yes fwiw
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