John1122

It's not even managed that here. The only roads melted are the ones that were treated by TDOT yesterday. It's down to 21 degrees here now.

It's down to flurries here at 22 degrees, the temp is still headed down. Hopefully I can add to this this evening.

A little over an inch so far, but rates aren't as heavy as they were 30-45 minutes ago.

Visibility down to about 1/4th mile now. Flakes still dimes and nickels. Looking at cams it's snowing in Cumberland and maybe Roane but it doesn't look like it is yet on the west Knoxville cams. Should start soon if it isn't, I'd think.

Little over a half inch down in 30 minutes of good rates. Temp is 26. Flakes are dime and nickel sized, visibility appropriately 1/3rd mile.

Now snowing heavily. Saw some upstream reports of an Inch in 45 minutes just east of Murfreesboro. That's what's arriving here now.

Snow has started here. Very little virga at all. Maybe 10 minutes of it. Still very light but flakes are reaching the ground. 2 hours early vs MRX timing.

The RGEM was pretty good down there. Most blanked them.

28/24 with returns about 15 miles to my west. Not sure if they are reaching the ground or not.

Looks like returns are close to your area too.

I love that camera. When you post it, good times are usually underway.

The fire hose that Powell was talking about it portrayed on in ICON laying down 4 to 5 inches in a band about three counties across from out AMZ's way across Murfreesboro, along the Plateau and into SE KY and SW VA.

The models that showed a good thump around Clarksville and St Louis are so far winning vs the drier models that choked off totals out that way. Fwiw the 0z Gem/Rgem/GFS are very close to what is ground reality that way and they are upping totals this way. The GEM just put 3.5 inches into North Knox and 2.5-3 inches along and south of 40. The RGEM is similar with a little bonus area of 4 inches around Roane Co. The GFS is 2.5 inches or so along 40 and also slipped a little heavier area around Roane and Loudon co. None of the mixing issues around the foothills really either. Hopefully they don't all school the Euro west of here then lose to the Euro here.

The Euro only gave them like 2.5 total.

29/23 here. 65%.

That's what TWC's future radar shows spreading over the entire forum area by 4amish.

You'll usually see some virga there, as it's higher moisture. When the DGZ lowers is when you have the most trouble seeing snow on radar. But eastern Fentress/Western Scott is usually tough under any circumstances.

I've no idea what the future radar is run off of for TWC but it's impressive even down deep into Alabama for snow.

In the Tennessee area of this, the Euro was only showing around 2 inches total.

The EURO had St Louis with 1.1 inches by 7pm. Did they have 2 or 3 inches by noon?

Soon as the sun dropped behind the mountain the temp dropped. Hopefully my last moments above freezing until Saturday.

Yes, I agree. And one or two bad models can really skew the mean in both directions.

I'm sure it's whatever the latest NBM is. They basically seem to never use anything but it. It's pretty much an ensemble mean it seems.

Peak temp today.

The 18z GFS gives me 6 inches. The 18z ICON and RGEM give me 5 inches. The NAM had been giving 5 inches here but now it's down to 3 inches. The 3K paints 4+ all along Cross Mountain but areas to the immediate east get downsloped I assume, and get 2 inches. Because there are 0 temp issues imby on any model. I am in the lower to mid 20s the entire event.