John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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The 12z AI Euro was a major winter storm from Nashville west as a storm ran the Apps.
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Fairly moderate snow as the pulse moved across. Big quarter + sized flakes.
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Looks like some vigorous moisture moving in from the West that may spread more flakes across the area.
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We ended up in about the same boat. The RGEM was just about perfect here.
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About 1.5 inches here. 30 degrees and probably on my last burst looking at the radar. Another overperformer here. Hopefully we can get some big ticket overperfomers before winter ends.
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A few hundred feet makes a world of difference (about 2 degrees vs 1200 ft).
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Around 3/4ths inch at the house when I left. Heavy snow in town but a heavy dusting so far. It was 32 at the house and it's 34 in town.
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Driving off the mountain.
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GFS with a late surge.
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The RAP is getting more on board as well.
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The GFS is making a late surge and bringing heavy snow back to the plateau and points east. It puts down 3 inches in Knoxville.
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Looks like MRX is rolling with the NAM as a heavy favorite in the current modeling. The HRRR has been increasing potential totals steadily, with the RGEM being steadfast in a decent event.
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The GFS and Canadian/RGEM are singing a wintery tune for this week at 00z. It would be great if they're correct.
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The EPO doesn't always work for us. It can be too far West and dump the cold there while we get cutters. But when it's right, we don't have to worry about rain, just suppression and pipe busting cold behind storms.
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The GFS is back on with the winter storm. Hopefully we can lock in to a stable and winter weather solution.
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You can see below the temps in Kentucky. It's 48 in Jellico but 32 about 10 miles away in Clarfield.
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Really strange that it's in the mid to upper 40s all around me but it's 33 here. There's a small pocket of lower 30s in part of Campbell and Claiborne County. I thought the cold front must have passed but it's 44 to 48 north and west of me.
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3k NAM is trying to give another 1/2 inch to 2 inch event to the area on Wednesday night. The RGEM is sort of on board too.
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The cold is impressive. I've only gotten up to 27 today.
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It ended up steadily snowing until about 5 am here, tiny flakes once it got below 30 but I ended up with 1.75 inches.
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The GFS is trying for the d9 storm, Plateau and west to the mid-state. Canadian is a far western ice storm with a low running west of the apps. 12+ hours of upper 20s to lower 30s in West Tennessee while Eastern areas are in the 50s. The euro is much warmer than either and it's all rain. So every model has the storm, the path is the big question.
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This was I-75 about 5 miles as the crow flies from me, about an hour ago.
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The radar looked healthy down that way. I was wondering if it was getting to the surface.
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It was enough to close schools across the Northern border counties. So plenty of happy kids and sad parents.
