John1122
Members-
Posts
10,859 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by John1122
-
Leap Days Clipper Parade: February 26th-29th 2020
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looking upstream I don't see anything to be enthusiastic about the rest of the evening for my area. Winter 2019-20 wasn't as bad as 2018-19 for my area and not as bad as 2017-18 either. But those two are basically the gold standard for the worst winters in my life. It's either bound to bounce back at some point or I'm going to have to move to the Tughill Plateau for year or two. -
Leap Days Clipper Parade: February 26th-29th 2020
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
MRX said that the main precip would move over the Northern Plateau 11pm to 3am and work through far eastern areas 7am to 10am. Gonna hold out some hope it actually does develop more than a passing shower. The precip type in the grids was way off. Said rain here until 11pm, then rain and snow til midnight, then all snow after midnight. There's been no rain, just not much precip in general. -
Leap Days Clipper Parade: February 26th-29th 2020
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It snows for 5 minutes and then the skies clear. Weird clipper. They usually produce a few hour window of steadier snow. A shame that heavy area in Nashville was rain or maybe bright banding from melting snow flakes. -
Leap Days Clipper Parade: February 26th-29th 2020
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
If everything stays this scattered it will be hard to get much accumulation anywhere. Snowing for 10 minutes out of every hour doesn't cut it. -
Leap Days Clipper Parade: February 26th-29th 2020
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
No virga this time. As soon as returns popped up over me, its snowing. Temp dropped to 33 degrees. -
Leap Days Clipper Parade: February 26th-29th 2020
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's odd, or maybe just the radar I'm looking at, but the precip North of me in Kentucky looks to be moving due East and the precip West of me is moving SSE. -
Leap Days Clipper Parade: February 26th-29th 2020
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I assume the heavy area developing in western Tennessee is what has been showing up dropping 3 or 4 inches along the southern Plateau. Looks like it may be pointed that way. I figure its gonna be another hour or so before it starts here. -
I'm already ready for summer and spring to be over. Tennessee isn't making the NCAAs and I'm already tired of humid, 88-95 degrees and rain. At least in fall when it's still 88-95 degrees its dry.
-
Leap Days Clipper Parade: February 26th-29th 2020
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like round 2 is rain in western and middle valley areas. Looks like temps are close to 50 in Nashville. seems to be mid 30s to 40ish over on this side of the state. 35.6 imby with mostly clear skies. -
TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
John1122 replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
Another 4 inch week of rain would probably out us back into areal flooding. The ground is like a full sponge right now. I had a flat earlier and had the worst time changing it. Due to the nature of where I live there are sections of paved road and sections of gravel. My flat happened in gravel. It was like soup, my jack kept sinking into the ground. Soil is soaked at every level. -
Leap Days Clipper Parade: February 26th-29th 2020
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Surprised MRX said wave two was stronger. OHX earlier said just the opposite, that it was weaker. It coming after dark will greatly aid in stickage. -
Leap Days Clipper Parade: February 26th-29th 2020
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The tail end of wave one was convective here with very heavy rates and wind. Managed about 1/3rd inch at its peak but the sun came out right after. -
Leap Days Clipper Parade: February 26th-29th 2020
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Saw photos from the southern Plateau, big flakes and white ground pretty quickly. -
Leap Days Clipper Parade: February 26th-29th 2020
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like decent returns in middle Tennessee, just not sure of the ground truth to them right now. They should be in Crossville next update. They are moving almost due East so may he good if they don't get downsloped off the Plateau and temps cooperate in the central valley. -
Leap Days Clipper Parade: February 26th-29th 2020
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
MRX actually added my area to the WWA but for elevations higher than me. Holding at 31 degrees up from 25 as the atmosphere tries to saturate. The ground is nicely frozen after being sub freezing for the last 12 hours. Just need to see the moisture actually reach the surface. -
Leap Days Clipper Parade: February 26th-29th 2020
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Having some virga here. Maybe a flurry or two. -
Leap Days Clipper Parade: February 26th-29th 2020
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like the best shot of anything sticking lower that 1500ft will be tonight after dark with the second wave. -
Leap Days Clipper Parade: February 26th-29th 2020
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
One difference from tonight into tomorrow vs yesterday, we had been above freezing and had to work our way below freezing on a warmer ground. No worries about that tonight. -
Leap Days Clipper Parade: February 26th-29th 2020
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Speaking earlier about location during upslope, LeConte is a few miles from Newfound Gap but picked up 7 inches of snow into this morning. Newfound Gap only got an inch. -
Leap Days Clipper Parade: February 26th-29th 2020
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
On the 00z HRRR 700-500mb Lapse rates look to be -7 to -8 in the area into tomorrow. Not absolutely unstable like -10 or more but enough to be considered conditionally unstable. HRRR is .5 to 2 inches over a good part of the Eastern Rim and other areas eastward. The 3+ lollipop shows up in western Cumberland County. The mountains go for 4-8 inches. -
Leap Days Clipper Parade: February 26th-29th 2020
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
-
Leap Days Clipper Parade: February 26th-29th 2020
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
OHX seems to be all in for their Eastern counties. WWA for 1-2 inches plus some more Friday night with a 3rd clipper. MRX less enthusiastic. -
TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
John1122 replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
Had an 8 foot deep mega pothole/sinkhole open in an area roadway this week. There was a huge one in a backyard a couple weeks ago. -
Leap Days Clipper Parade: February 26th-29th 2020
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Flow snow is fickle. Elevation helped a lot last night too. -
Leap Days Clipper Parade: February 26th-29th 2020
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Models look like they are keying on the Southern Plateau for a bullseye spot with the next clipper. Outside the Eastern mountains that area shows up as the winner across 6z/0z model runs.
