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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. I saw something that said a smooth blending of the EPS had the 850 low track from Mississippi to Wilmington.
  2. Another from today. Snow on the small spruce tree behind my house. I'm hoping it lasts but there's an aphid in the area that is killing many of them.
  3. Yep I hadn't even been looking beyond this event. How long has the next one been on models? It seems to give my area another 2-4 inches.
  4. I'm sure the battlezone is nearby. Normally in this type of set up it's more an issue from Morgan Co down to Cumberland. But we manage it occasionally too, usually with much colder surface temps though.
  5. I'm sure it does, that was just the map I was able to find! I do like that that site seems to do well removing the sleet/zr from the equation.
  6. ZR/sleet removed Euro snow map. I found this interesting, the little snow hole in Eastern Claiborne County in the middle of the pink and purple is a small area that the Euro shows getting almost 2 inches of sleet. Same in that blue strip in Bell County Kentucky just north of Middlesboro.
  7. As a bonus, the EURO spits out .25 or so of freezing rain just over my area with some sleet totals approaching an inch in the area too.
  8. This morning Huntsville WFO was pretty bullish for the 850 low/clipper giving them a decent amount of snow. So I feel like there's still hope for our southern areas.
  9. I believe the system will be fully sampled for the 0z runs, including the piece of Northern stream energy. Hopefully better news comes for more of the forum.
  10. All models have gotten very similar at this point.
  11. Heavy snow falling from Fentress to Johnson City and points N by 1pm Sunday. Very borderline with mixing over Knoxville.
  12. Through 108 the snow map looks similar to the UKIE.
  13. At 96 it's colder at 850 in west Tn than it was at 120 yesterday, slightly slower.
  14. I hate the 24 hour maps, but at 72 the Euro is almost identical to 96 at 12z yesterday.
  15. GEFS looks sort of the like UKIE snow map.
  16. From some of what I'm seeing, Athens may have more issues than Pigeon Forge.
  17. The WPC model disco. They will update post Euro but for now gave the most weight to the 00z Euro.
  18. UKIE clown. Pretty much north of 40 event on here. This is a clown map I've seen play out in reality a bunch of times. Hopefully though, the snowline can dip further south.
  19. I thought maybe 1/2 inch to 1 inch, but if I can get some more of these heavy snow showers to move through I can maybe pass 2 inches. It's a thick heavy snow as well, mostly falling at 31/32 degrees.
  20. 06z is good to the far eastern areas, not so great anywhere else. Kills North Carolina. 2 feet in the Piedmont. The GFS continues to be far and away the warmest of the models. The NAM is still looking great at 84, but it's the NAM at 84. I'm not real clear on why the 850s don't cool here after the low is to our east, but they just don't on the GFS.
  21. Not the epic of the last few days, especially today, but not too bad at all for some of us. All in all not terribly off the GFS and CMC, a little more for us than they show but I'll take 6-10 inches any time we can get it. That is 25 percent roughly of the totals from 12z that I said I'd be happy with. We will see if she wobbles back or not, but with every model except the FV3 being fairly similar, we may be close to the track solution. Though I suspect there will be some more shifts, as the majority of the snowfall here is 96-144 hours away.
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