John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I saw something that said a smooth blending of the EPS had the 850 low track from Mississippi to Wilmington.- 1,195 replies
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Another from today. Snow on the small spruce tree behind my house. I'm hoping it lasts but there's an aphid in the area that is killing many of them.
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Winter 'Tis the Season Banter Thread 2018-2019
John1122 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yep I hadn't even been looking beyond this event. How long has the next one been on models? It seems to give my area another 2-4 inches. -
December 8-10 Storm Discussion
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm sure the battlezone is nearby. Normally in this type of set up it's more an issue from Morgan Co down to Cumberland. But we manage it occasionally too, usually with much colder surface temps though.- 1,195 replies
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm sure it does, that was just the map I was able to find! I do like that that site seems to do well removing the sleet/zr from the equation.- 1,195 replies
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
ZR/sleet removed Euro snow map. I found this interesting, the little snow hole in Eastern Claiborne County in the middle of the pink and purple is a small area that the Euro shows getting almost 2 inches of sleet. Same in that blue strip in Bell County Kentucky just north of Middlesboro.- 1,195 replies
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
As a bonus, the EURO spits out .25 or so of freezing rain just over my area with some sleet totals approaching an inch in the area too.- 1,195 replies
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
This morning Huntsville WFO was pretty bullish for the 850 low/clipper giving them a decent amount of snow. So I feel like there's still hope for our southern areas.- 1,195 replies
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I believe the system will be fully sampled for the 0z runs, including the piece of Northern stream energy. Hopefully better news comes for more of the forum.- 1,195 replies
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
All models have gotten very similar at this point.- 1,195 replies
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Heavy snow falling from Fentress to Johnson City and points N by 1pm Sunday. Very borderline with mixing over Knoxville.- 1,195 replies
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Through 108 the snow map looks similar to the UKIE.- 1,195 replies
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
At 96 it's colder at 850 in west Tn than it was at 120 yesterday, slightly slower.- 1,195 replies
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I hate the 24 hour maps, but at 72 the Euro is almost identical to 96 at 12z yesterday.- 1,195 replies
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
GEFS looks sort of the like UKIE snow map.- 1,195 replies
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
From some of what I'm seeing, Athens may have more issues than Pigeon Forge.- 1,195 replies
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
The WPC model disco. They will update post Euro but for now gave the most weight to the 00z Euro.- 1,195 replies
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
UKIE clown. Pretty much north of 40 event on here. This is a clown map I've seen play out in reality a bunch of times. Hopefully though, the snowline can dip further south.- 1,195 replies
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Scenes from this AM. 1.75 inches of snow on the trunk of the car, probably 1.25 on the ground.
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I thought maybe 1/2 inch to 1 inch, but if I can get some more of these heavy snow showers to move through I can maybe pass 2 inches. It's a thick heavy snow as well, mostly falling at 31/32 degrees.
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Moderate snow falling, 31 degrees and closing in on 1.5 inches.
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
06z is good to the far eastern areas, not so great anywhere else. Kills North Carolina. 2 feet in the Piedmont. The GFS continues to be far and away the warmest of the models. The NAM is still looking great at 84, but it's the NAM at 84. I'm not real clear on why the 850s don't cool here after the low is to our east, but they just don't on the GFS.- 1,195 replies
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Business is booming. Closing in on an 3/4ths of an inch with fat quarters falling.
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Not the epic of the last few days, especially today, but not too bad at all for some of us. All in all not terribly off the GFS and CMC, a little more for us than they show but I'll take 6-10 inches any time we can get it. That is 25 percent roughly of the totals from 12z that I said I'd be happy with. We will see if she wobbles back or not, but with every model except the FV3 being fairly similar, we may be close to the track solution. Though I suspect there will be some more shifts, as the majority of the snowfall here is 96-144 hours away.- 1,195 replies