John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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This is hard to beat in mid to late Jan. Jan 15th-Feb 15th is the heart of winter here. The most extreme cold and most snow we get, historically, arrives in that window. Some of that AN precip will be rain. But that angle of cold pointed at us from Eastern Montana to Minnesota basically what we see with big winter events and bitter cold here. That will keep us in the game for what I posted above.
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The GFS says let's run it back. Still snowing in NE Tn/SW VA here.
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Seems to be over unless that small band near Nashville makes it here. Ended up with 4 inches. Very powdery. No sleet, no freezing rain. Roughly an inch over 7 hours, then 3 inches in 4 hours to close it out.
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Just got to 3 inches. It's snowed for just over 8 hours to get there. (Most of it fell in the last hour and twenty minutes.)
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We are now what I'd officially call ripping. Quarter sized flakes and a lot of them. Just crossed 2 inches.
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Still all snow but it's just not as heavy as it looks like it should be based on radar.
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It's a worst of both worlds situation re models. The Euro was right with low QPF for me but the hi-res/NAM nest was right about the warm nose for the folks to the south and the NAM was right about the epic dry slot. The Euro kept everything cold. All in all, it's snow map will end up pretty close most likely. Fortunately the Euro's correct call about snow totals really boosted our western and southern valley folks.
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You're likely to get some freezing rain then it will turn back to snow.
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Looks like maybe some banding working along the Plateau now.
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Steady quarters and nickels falling here. No mixing issues but not terribly heavy rates, about 1/2 inch an hour probably.
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It's all snow for now. Tiny dime sized flakes but a lot of them. My temperature actually went down some. I had made it to 27 but it's back to 26 now.
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Not always! I will say that it's snowed more this week from random NW energy bits than it has from this system so far.
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Looks like the precip is maybe pivoting in a way that the mid-valley dry slot won't quite get here. I've already had two today, I can live without round 3.
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Chattanooga area to Knoxville was the place to be for this one in the east. The heavy precip oriented perfectly and you avoided the big dry slot that rolled up out of Alabama along the Plateau above Crossville.
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I will also give credit to that wonky NAM run a few days ago that dry-slotted me. Kudos NAM.
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It looks like the dry slot that was headed my way is filling in now.
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That would be me, if it verifies, but I'm going to guess it will not.
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Looks like the dry Euro runs are going to verify here. Ironically it got onboard with 4+ inches here at the last minute. I'll be shocked if I get over 2. The American models, barring a huge surprise, are going to be miserable failures.
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I knew the bust was coming, my WSW just changed to 1-4 inches and yet another dry slot is developing to my SW.
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Finally back to quarter sized flakes here.
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It's rare to see it snowing in literally every direction from me. It looks like some development down towards Holston may start to fill in my area soon.
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I'm in a strange dry slot as well and I'm going to count myself lucky if I get to half what's forecast. Never seen it before with a slider.
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Feels like I'm maybe going to bust really low here, that snowhole is lined up sw of me and just keeps refusing to fill. Good luck to the others of you getting nailed, hopefully there's no mixing issues!
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The snowhole was strange because it stayed thickly cloudy and still snowed moderately with 1/2 mile vis, but the flakes as noted by Holston, Shocker and Shawn, were just very tiny.
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@Holston_River_Rambler are you in the snow hole that has developed?
