John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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06 GFS amped up and hit hard for most of the forum. Nasty ice storm 81 corridor unfortunately. I assume due to downslope warming because it's trying to ice in NE areas still as the storm runs up 95 in NC. Such a monster the freezing rain areas end up with 10 inches of snow. Nearly 20 on the Plateau.
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The 18z Euro would have likely looked like a blend of the Canadian and UKIE. It's suppressed for wave two again this run. The Sunday system it brings 1 to 2 inches for parts of the area.
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The snow just gets to Tennessee at the end of the UKIE run at 168, at 162 it hadn’t made it yet, on the Canadian it snowed to hour 192 or 198. I belive we'd see a bigger/better N/NW side with the path it takes.
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Very interested in the Euro now. That UKIE run isn't bad at this lead.
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Insane.
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It's gangbusters. It took the GFS to school with the last system.
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The GFS just got strung out like the storm that just passed. Dumped all over Texas and then just fizzled as it moved East.
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The Canadian is similar to the ICON with the weekend system. GFS wants nothing to do with it really.
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The GFS gets a 1060 down to Northern Colorado that run.
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Gonna be better than 18z was but not quite gonna make it here I don't think.
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GFS is much more north/amped this run. Gonna see if it's enough soon. 1048 hp in southern Missouri pressing on it.
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ICON for the Sunday system. It's suppressed still mid-week.
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School hasn't been in session here since before Christmas and I honestly see no way for melting to occur before Friday during the day really.
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The ICON was pretty good across the whole area almost with the Sunday system. As Jeff noted, Chattanooga not so much, but every where else it would be a nice event. We often see snow come with this level or arctic airmass. My high was modeled at 16 on Monday at 12z on some modeling.
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Bouncycorn, the met from Southern weather has the model blender that he can run each one through for a snow map. This is his 18z AI map with what he feels would be the proper ratios based in sounding.
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Euro AI keeps moving NW with its precip shield. Basically 2-4 inches for East Tennessee at 18z.
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Crazily enough, there have been snows of that magnitude in Miss and Louisiana. They are rare but have happened.
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If we pulled that one off and February was a torch, I'd not complain (much).
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Temps are 16 to 22ish when at the height of the snow here on the Euro.
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Euro is a big hitter. Still don't believe the 1050 but it bananas and keeps the cut from happening. 1043 in the NE, 1050 over Missouri.
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The Euro is going to be close to what the GFS showed. I think the HP is too strong on all models currently, 1050 shows up often but rarely verifies over Missouri.
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The Euro is trying to start the Saturday system with some frozen precip in the VA border areas and in SWVa.
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The Euro, as usual at this range, is completely unimpressed and back to it's dry as the desert look. The Euro cold snap is shorter too, but potent.
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GFS came NW significantly and crushed the Carolinas that run. Almost back to that wild Euro run a few days ago. Something building in Texas behind it. GFS so the usual warnings apply.
