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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    I'm hoping it's a March '22 event instead of one of the many rug pullers. I still refuse to get my hopes up too high.
  2. John1122
    The ICON has a LP track over Eastern NC, that would probably have even more precip than it depicts over Eastern areas.
  3. John1122
    ICON with heavier returns covering most of East Tennessee at the 84hr mark.
  4. John1122
    Looking at the direction and movement of the precip, I'd have guess Tri would have been under moderate/heavy returns for the next 6-12 hours due to the heavy slug of moisture aimed from Northern Alabama, through Knoxville and aimed at Tri, it the RGEM went to 96.
  5. John1122
    It's still going almost state wide still at that point. It's still going in Northern Louisiana and Southern Arkansas and it's aimed all the way to SW VA. Looks like sleet for Northern Alabama and Georgia at the end with heavy precip aimed at Chattanooa around the transition zone.
  6. John1122
    For posterity. Still ripping over the region at this time.
  7. John1122
    @AMZ8990 Should be singing "Oh Canada!" at this point and I'll join him. We may need to change getting "nam'd" to getting "rgem'd".
  8. John1122
    Memphis area is getting smoked this run of the RGEM.
  9. John1122
    The RGEM appears to be amped like the GGEM.
  10. John1122
    The NAM is forming a low in the Western Gulf at the end of it's run, it appears. That would be the potential second wave of precip Tuesday.
  11. John1122
    I honestly expected even more from the NAM by looking at it's precip panels.
  12. John1122
    We are getting NAM'd currently though.
  13. John1122
    We've not even gotten to the under 24 hours rug pulling stage yet.
  14. John1122
    Positive overnight trends. The Euro hopefully continues at 12z. It's rarely one to make huge jumps but it could here. Seems like a lot of modeling converged overnight towards a Tennessee special.
  15. John1122
    The UKIE, which in my memory has generally had a warm bias, is incredibly cold after the storm. It's got -20s showing up in East Tennessee on Wednesday morning. -14 in Knoxville.
  16. John1122
    Non-ratio'd UKIE
  17. John1122
    The UKIE was even better than 12z for the whole forum. Don't have a ratio'd map for it but it's especially huge for the Plateau and West but still 3-5 over a lot of the East.
  18. John1122
    It looks like the Euro from maybe 48 hours ago. It was amped and putting 50s in East Tennessee.
  19. John1122
    Models are trying for another potentially big storm in the 174-200hrs out range.
  20. John1122
    Well, it's the crazy uncle for a reason. It's know for wild solutions but lately it seems to more mirror the GFS or Euro but will still throw a wild pitch now and then.
  21. John1122
    The CMC has me at 20 degrees with 750-850mb at about 34f getting almost half an inch of freezing rain and sleet after 4 to 6 inches of paste. I'd probably be powerless for 2 weeks.
  22. John1122
    I'd be fine for you guys but man, I could do without the ice on top of the snow! I want power for the single digits!
  23. John1122
    I'm still mainly looking at trends regarding track. QPF will always vary from run to run and small things make big windows 3 or 4 days away. The inconsistencies with this show how many directions the plinko chip can still fall on a given run.
  24. John1122
    I wouldn't be surprised to see the Euro and the Canadian look similar at this point. The solutions are literally all over the map across all modeling.
  25. John1122
    The GFS is popping a gulf low. If we can get it moving NE instead of East it will be nice.
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