John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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Triple phasers happen about once every 10 to 15 years. Let's hope this one isn't it.
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So the Lakes low strikes even this.
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I take solace that the AI isn't remotely as warm as the Euro OP.
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It's hard to fathom a world where the Euro folds to the Canadian.
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It runs a tongue of mixing issues up the edge of the Apps, and into southern valley.
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AI Euro was definitely north with more mixing issues.
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I take that back about the GEFS, it's going to probably approach a 10 inch snow depth down to the Georgia line. Not sure if it's blending sleet in or not though.
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The GEFS is going to mirror the qpf of the op, but is a little warmer and likely has more mixing issues on some of the members.
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This storm just keeps reminding me of Feb 2nd 1996. It even had that area of extra heavy snow in the central valley of East Tennessee, and was a massive sleet event in Chattanooga.
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The GFS entirely avoided freezing rain in Chattanooga. They did get half a foot of sleet with their snow.
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I never imagined getting 24 inches of snow modeled and being on the low end of accumulation in the area.
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I think the AI GFS fed the GFS the DGEX as part of its takeover.
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Only 40 inches in parts of Sevier co that run.
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Well, I'd talked about going to Mammoth, but it's coming to me.
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The GFS may go for 3 feet.
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The window is currently very narrow now. The UKIE is the northern most, the GFS, still the southern most, even with this 18z run.
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The GFS picked up more Baja wave.
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I had to laugh at them putting Pinecrest on the Campbell County map. It's about 30 houses on a peninsula leading to the lake on the south end of the County.
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NBM for Freezing Rain. They don't issue a sleet one that I know of.
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18z NBM
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That was an I-40 special. Knoxville also had around 1 inch of ice from it. It was snow and sleet here, we had about 6 or 7 inches combined. Southern Kentucky has 12+ inches of snow.
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It seems like they always verify worse than modeled, unfortunately.
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The Euro is still a monster. And maybe the worst winter storm ever here, especially if you include the near 3/4th inch of ice it gives the Southern Valley.
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Yes, it's faster on other sites.
