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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    Did MRX really say that surfaces are too warm for anything but grassy accumulations because of the last two days? It was 12 degrees yesterday morning and 19 this morning. I still have snow on the ground and sides of the road in shady spots.
  2. John1122
    Some of the short range models are ticking up. The NBM isn't yet and that's what MRX uses basically exclusively.
  3. John1122
    Hopefully the EPS is correct in how it's handling the Pacific. It's our path back to winter after the first 7-10 days of February are warm and wet.
  4. John1122
    This was the heaviest of the snow yesterday morning and why school got called.
  5. John1122
    Looking back here in the last 100ish years, we never had a January that was more than -8 that had less than 16 inches of snow. I'm at 9.5 for the month, precip is well BN.
  6. John1122
    A winter observation, we didn't get nearly as much snow as we normally should've for a January that's -10ish. I mean not even 50 percent of what a January like that normally brings. My electric bill came today and it's 200 percent of normal. So there's that.
  7. John1122
    The director of school's statement here literally read "As completely unexpected snow has developed, we are canceling schools for the remainder of the day." All modeling had 1/2 to 1 inch in the area. JKL put out an SPS about it last night and put it in their forecast. MRX didn't put anything out and used the flurries wording. When they put those products out they are sent to County EMAs who share them. MRX put out an SPS after schools were closed here. Not sure why they chose to ignore modeling.
  8. John1122
    The AI is toasty, some of us may make a run at 80 in the southern areas of the forum per some of it's runs.
  9. John1122
    Pretty good quarters and nickels flying out there currently.
  10. John1122
    MRX did put out a SPS after schools were already closed here. Around 1/2 inch fell but it instantly covered roads.
  11. John1122
    Schools had to close at 10:30 here. The superintendent was shocked. MRX went super conservative and made no mention of snow.
  12. John1122
    Getting some flurries/light snow. 23.4 degrees.
  13. John1122
    Anyone seeing anything from the returns over the mid-state?
  14. John1122
    Grim long range for winter lovers. Models are trying to have an Aleutian ridge, deep western trough. Hopefully that isn't the case, if it is, the first half of February will be tough for any snow chances. Late GFS has two systems with the rain/snow line in Michigan and Southern California getting snow.
  15. John1122
    There's definitely a moisture wringing effect when it's that cold. That cloud just regenerated for 6 hours.
  16. John1122
    It finally cleared out here around 4 a.m and I made it down to 0. It's 26 right now, you know it's been cold when that doesn't feel too bad outside. Picked up a modest dusting of snow from the overnight pixie dust that got up to dimes for about 15 minutes.
  17. John1122
    This little patch of clouds just keeps redeveloping over the Cumberlands from Kentucky down to my area and snow is falling from them. Outside the clouds just to my west it's 0 to 2 degrees.
  18. John1122
    Still getting light pixie dust snow. Clouds are holding the temps from falling too fast, it's only fallen from 9 to 8 since midnight.
  19. John1122
    Down to 9 degrees as of midnight with light snow falling again.
  20. John1122
    Much to my surprise, it's been snowing and we have a fresh dusting. I didn't even think to look until I saw the radar at the NWS mrx page showing some light returns.
  21. John1122
    Looks like a cool/cold rain for us.
  22. John1122
    Florida's record snowfall is in tatters. When the models show climatologically unlikely things here, forget it. When they do along the gulf, buy the bread and milk.
  23. John1122
    Friend in Mobile Alabama sent me this. They live in Mobile because they hate snow/cold.
  24. John1122
    Honestly, luck and timing are always needed here. We are the world capitol of ice box cold and warm up to rain events. I've also always found it amazing that it snows regularly in places where it's well below zero but it's almost impossible to get snow to fall here in the teens, as storms get suppressed 1000 miles south when that happens here. While most anything can happen, historically, after these long cold shots, winter is essentially over when the pattern flips. It flipped in early Feb 1977 and we got up to 80 before the month was over. 2018 we had a legit February heat wave. Knoxville didn't even get below freezing from Feb 10th through the 28th and there were more days in the 80s for highs than 30s for lows. Feb '96 was the same. Mid 80s by late month after -20 imby early month. February 1985 fought back for us, but it's the least common path after a very BN January.
  25. John1122
    December 2017 and January 2018 it happened. December snow went from Texas and Louisiana across Miss, Alabama, Georgia and the Carolinas. 2018 I believe it went more along the gulf coast. I know Southern Miss and Alabama got 2-4 inches. Then there was another event from NE Florida up the Georgia and Carolina coasts. Parts of the Texas gulf coast got over 12 inches that winter, so did parts of Georgia.
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