John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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That EPS was amazing. -NAO, west based, -EPO, +PNA. That would normally mean we are going to snow at some point and get very cold too. It looks like it starts in about 6 days too. So it's being reeled in still.
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I think in some cases they take information from the public from before the snow ends and that's what they end up using when no other reports come into them. Makes sense on the computer generation for the broad brushing.
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It's been a long time since we had a January pattern possible like this. Our wintery years have been strong in February when we get them. I love January, especially late January, because you can get days of extreme cold after snow events more often than you do in December or after Feb 10th or so. Those are my favorites.
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Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Feels like the writing is on the wall for Barnes. It may be a long book until he retires. I think the Grant/Admiral two year run is going to be a huge exception and the last two years of being a borderline NCAA team with not much more than 1st round potential are going to be the normal. -
Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Bring it home CFS!! (That Illinois snow hole!) -
The GFS is moving forward in time with big time blocking. Its moved from 300 to around 240 now. Just keep reeling it in.
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Hopefully the storm the GFS just tossed out becomes a steady feature across modeling. Models have been decent with storms around this time frame but as always, track is a last day kind of thing.
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I'll take a fresh helping of the EPS control. Can't be taken verbatim but as mentioned before, shows the potential of the pattern with an active under cutting jet and Arctic cold coming down due to a nice Pacific set up and blocking above us.
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GFS has multiple shots at snow/winter weather from Wednesday all the way through 384. Can't jump on any event at this range but the pattern it implies is excellent for opportunities.
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GFS is trying for another system next Saturday into Sunday too.
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GFS, UKIE and Canadian working on a clipper Wednesday night for Eastern areas. Canadian looks a little better and more into Tennessee. Would be an event where you hoped to squeeze out an inch.
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1994 had around a 10 day stretch in January that had two minor snows, a moderate ice event and a major snow storm as well as two Siberian express cold shots in the 10 day period. From the N Plateau into SE Kentucky 8-15 inches of snow fell. It snowed, iced then snowed again with a super Arctic blast. I remember Knoxville had a massive ice storm with 3 or 4 inches of snow on top of it while more snow fell further north. The temperature wasn't warm when the event started but Knoxville managed to hit 33 briefly. Once the front passed the temp dropped for 36 straight hours. It was 27 at Midnight on the 18th, 15 at 6am, 13 and 1pm, 10 at 5pm, and 0 at 11:59, down to -4 by 7am on the 19th. It was "only" -15 with more snow cover than Knox up here. But under the massive snow pack in Kentucky it was colder than 1985. It was -25 just up the road from our KY posters in London. Shelbyville set the state record at -37 on January 19th 1994. I think a lot of people don't remember 1994 because 1995-96 was just incredible for winter weather as well and for a longer stretch than 1994.
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This MRX map is not very close in the Scott, Campbell, Claiborne area. I was in town in LaFollette 4 hours before it stopped snowing and there was 2.5 inches already then. They got 4.5 inches or so. Relatives in Tazewell got 5 inches. There was 6 in Oneida. 5-6 over most of Campbell north of LaFollette. 7.5 above 2500.
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You know it's a cold post storm day when snow stays on the trees even in bright sunshine.
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After last night's flow snow, I ended up at 6.2 inches. Currently sunny and 17 degrees.
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I would have bet this one was in the books but it's coming down pretty good out there right now. Probably flow snow.
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GFS sniffing at a monster winter storm in the long range. It's been pretty good at spotting storms from a long way out. As Carvers and others have pointed out, we have some major cold lurking around and potentially AN precip as we head into the heart of winter.
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MRX did explain what they think happened. The storm sped up and outran the forcing. That's why Middle Tennessee got dumped on for 12+ hours and eastern areas mostly faltered. I am sure that's happened before but I've never seen it explained before. It's not a common thing it would seem. You don't often see Nashville cash in big but Tri not be able to get there in what appeared to be the set up. Usually that only happens when there's a SE ridge like last year and it's snowing in the mud state and 50+ in the far east.
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The temperature is dropping and the DGZ is as well. I'm not sure if the snow band back across the Plateau collapsed or if it's now falling from below the DGZ. I can say that snow is falling here and the radar shows nothing.
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Yes. The similarities to 84-85 are remarkable. Dec 1995 was colder and more snowy if I remember correctly but 1996 was off to a similar start.
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Not many people remember in the area, but there was a snow event on the Plateau and SE Kentucky on January 5th 1985. I had 3 inches, Williamsburg Kentucky had 3 inches and the Oneida station reports .40 precip with temps of 34-30. It was slightly drier and warmer further east.
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I'm probably going to make it to 6 inches or more with these bands. It's probably 15:1 or better. Very fluffy snow.
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Pretty good rates, up to quarter+ falling in this band.
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Pretty good rates with nickles falling in this band. It's heading SE towards Anderson, Knox and Union and points east. Hopefully it holds together.
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Another band moving in with some low end steady snow. Future radar keeps it around until about 10pm.
