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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    Gonna be a south of 40 special it looks like. I don't think I've ever seen a northern stream system drop in like this one.
  2. John1122
    GFS is even further W and S at 06 and is gonna get Arkansas and blast Memphis too. Have to see how she heads East.
  3. John1122
    Pretty good agreement that a 1-4 inch type system is possible for the weekend. Granted, we won't be sure until the last minute, as the track is more fickle with these systems than a slider type system where temps are the major issue and not the exact track of the low.
  4. John1122
    Yes, both take a western path, then transfer to a coastal. The GFS made it further south and transferred further west so it was better for Tennessee. After the handoff it winds up NAM style and crushes the deep south from Georgia to the Carolinas. We need a SW trend to continue! With this type of storm the trend is far more likely to be NE with the initial low.
  5. John1122
    That was an epic GFS run, I've never seen a storm take quite that path before and can't imagine this one will, but dang what a site it would be if it did.
  6. John1122
    I meant -EPO.
  7. John1122
    My favorite is a well positioned +EPO. It drives frigid cold down it's right flank. Last year it did it more from the Plateau, west. In 2015 it did it for most all of the East. Last year it was record cold in a lot of the South from Texas to Alabama and points North while the MJO hung around Phase 6.
  8. John1122
    8 arms to snow us. Hoping the cold front gets past here soon. Holding onto some snow still but it's being consumed quickly.
  9. John1122
    A comparison to where the Euro takes us to some past 500mb looks. Feb 2015 Jan 1985 EPS 500mb for day 15, but has this look earlier.
  10. John1122
    That EPS was amazing. -NAO, west based, -EPO, +PNA. That would normally mean we are going to snow at some point and get very cold too. It looks like it starts in about 6 days too. So it's being reeled in still.
  11. John1122
    I think in some cases they take information from the public from before the snow ends and that's what they end up using when no other reports come into them. Makes sense on the computer generation for the broad brushing.
  12. John1122
    It's been a long time since we had a January pattern possible like this. Our wintery years have been strong in February when we get them. I love January, especially late January, because you can get days of extreme cold after snow events more often than you do in December or after Feb 10th or so. Those are my favorites.
  13. John1122
    Feels like the writing is on the wall for Barnes. It may be a long book until he retires. I think the Grant/Admiral two year run is going to be a huge exception and the last two years of being a borderline NCAA team with not much more than 1st round potential are going to be the normal.
  14. John1122
    Bring it home CFS!! (That Illinois snow hole!)
  15. John1122
    The GFS is moving forward in time with big time blocking. Its moved from 300 to around 240 now. Just keep reeling it in.
  16. John1122
    Hopefully the storm the GFS just tossed out becomes a steady feature across modeling. Models have been decent with storms around this time frame but as always, track is a last day kind of thing.
  17. John1122
    I'll take a fresh helping of the EPS control. Can't be taken verbatim but as mentioned before, shows the potential of the pattern with an active under cutting jet and Arctic cold coming down due to a nice Pacific set up and blocking above us.
  18. John1122
    GFS has multiple shots at snow/winter weather from Wednesday all the way through 384. Can't jump on any event at this range but the pattern it implies is excellent for opportunities.
  19. John1122
    GFS is trying for another system next Saturday into Sunday too.
  20. John1122
    GFS, UKIE and Canadian working on a clipper Wednesday night for Eastern areas. Canadian looks a little better and more into Tennessee. Would be an event where you hoped to squeeze out an inch.
  21. John1122
    1994 had around a 10 day stretch in January that had two minor snows, a moderate ice event and a major snow storm as well as two Siberian express cold shots in the 10 day period. From the N Plateau into SE Kentucky 8-15 inches of snow fell. It snowed, iced then snowed again with a super Arctic blast. I remember Knoxville had a massive ice storm with 3 or 4 inches of snow on top of it while more snow fell further north. The temperature wasn't warm when the event started but Knoxville managed to hit 33 briefly. Once the front passed the temp dropped for 36 straight hours. It was 27 at Midnight on the 18th, 15 at 6am, 13 and 1pm, 10 at 5pm, and 0 at 11:59, down to -4 by 7am on the 19th. It was "only" -15 with more snow cover than Knox up here. But under the massive snow pack in Kentucky it was colder than 1985. It was -25 just up the road from our KY posters in London. Shelbyville set the state record at -37 on January 19th 1994. I think a lot of people don't remember 1994 because 1995-96 was just incredible for winter weather as well and for a longer stretch than 1994.
  22. John1122
    This MRX map is not very close in the Scott, Campbell, Claiborne area. I was in town in LaFollette 4 hours before it stopped snowing and there was 2.5 inches already then. They got 4.5 inches or so. Relatives in Tazewell got 5 inches. There was 6 in Oneida. 5-6 over most of Campbell north of LaFollette. 7.5 above 2500.
  23. John1122
    You know it's a cold post storm day when snow stays on the trees even in bright sunshine.
  24. John1122
    After last night's flow snow, I ended up at 6.2 inches. Currently sunny and 17 degrees.
  25. John1122
    I would have bet this one was in the books but it's coming down pretty good out there right now. Probably flow snow.
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