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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. This is unique in my memory. I've never that I can recall been too far north for a clipper. Most clippers here you hope to stay cold enough for all snow if the moisture even reaches this far south. Looks like that band of 1.5 inches some models were showing may come to pass in parts of Central Knox.
  2. GFS - you get 5 inches from Arctic front. ---- WRONG! GFS - you get nothing from Clipper ---- Perfect forecast! I'll never know how models can be so bad for snow it shows that doesn't happen but so perfect for snow that it shows missing.
  3. It's close to me but 50/50 that it just dies as it gets here like it did when the Arctic front moved through the other night.
  4. Not a common thing in my experience to be too far north for a clipper but it looks like north of 40 will be in Eastern areas. Southern valley/Chattanooga is looking like a secondary bullseye across almost all modeling now for a quick inch or so.
  5. The HRRR is still healthy for western areas, especially north of 40. It's trying to squeeze out an inch or so in the East.
  6. My grandpa always said, "if it clouds up a frost, snow is on the way."
  7. The 21z RAP is 1+ almost valley wide. Quite a bit more out west.
  8. As for the cold section of the thread. My high today was 24.4 after a low of 6.2 this morning. Maybe the coldest multi day stretch we've ever seen with such minimal snow cover. I was colder in December 1989 but had several inches of snow on the ground. Also colder in 1985 but had a lot snow on the ground.
  9. The various NAM nest models are downright aggressive. Especially for the mid-state. The Canadian family seems to like the Chattanooga area. The GFS and HRRR have a nice 1 to 1.5 around Knoxville.
  10. Several models are coming in with .75 to 1.5 inches from the clipper tomorrow. WFOs are playing it way down, especially MRX, but it may surprise. Every flake will stick on all surfaces.
  11. That's a odd result. PWATs are about the same as they are over Missouri where 3-4 inches falls. The 700mb to below 850 is saturated per the sounding. The dry air is just above the surface up to about 3000 feet.
  12. I've managed to get above 0, up to 7 degrees now. Had about 1/2 inch of snow overnight.
  13. The ICON seems to get the clipper into the region. Looked good across Kentucky and North Central Tennessee. No maps available on tropical for snowfall for some reason.
  14. Looks like the RGEM and to some extent, the UKIE are on board with the clipper. The GFS/NAM remain skeptical. Not sure that isn't what we want to see after they both schooled the American models with the system that just passed.
  15. It coated the cars that had been driven today. It's tiny flakes about as big around as pencil erasers. But quite a lot of them.
  16. Once it got dark it started snowing and has been for a couple of hours.
  17. Dipped to -4 but bounced back to -2. TWC shows my temp going up until midnight then dropping back into tomorrow morning.
  18. I peaked at -1 unless it goes up as the night progresses. Sun is down behind the ridge to my west now and any warming is over for today from it.
  19. There are two modes for New Years, I'm in Chattanooga and it snows back home, or I'm in Chattanooga and there's a severe weather event for New Years. There's rarely any middle ground.
  20. Sitting at -2. Below 0 highs are extremely rare here. I can remember maybe 2 or 3 of them.
  21. I hate to hear that. It's happened to me before. Hopefully you can find the line and get it thawed. I've had to wait out entire cold spells in the past. Now if it's below 10, I leave water dripping in multiple faucets.
  22. It just won't warm any. Not sure if I'm going to get above 0 today at this rate. It's now -3.
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