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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. That's the best part of the system to me. The cold air is abundant and it grows colder as the system unfolds.
  2. It had to back off that 18z run that threw up a 26 inch amount around Frozenhead/Cross Mtn. That run was good and reasonable.
  3. 75 in that area will be awful while it's snowing. But the hotel is about 500 feet off it. There's a couple of restaurants and a gas station there. They had about a foot from the Jan 17th system.
  4. Crossville or Exit 141 here in Campbell County if you can get a hotel room there.
  5. That Rgem run would be an all time winter storm for any month of the year. As I've said a few times, those are more likely to happen in March than any other month.
  6. I think that may be the biggest run over the biggest area of any model yet. 9 in Knoxville, Murfreesboro and Chattanooga is crazy.
  7. Those 18z runs were just crazy. I am not surprised it backed down off of them. Everything still looks pretty solid.
  8. The 18z suite was into the tequila. 0z is sobering up a little. My 20+ on the 18z 3k is more around 6 on the 0z.
  9. Basically followed the SREF plumes. Up over the Plateau area and Mid Tn, and around the same over the East Valley. Looks like more snow out west vs 18z as well.
  10. Pulling through Central NC by 12z. Faster out than other models.
  11. Strengthening and heading NE now. Huge run shaping up it looks like.
  12. HRRR is coming in quite a bit different. Low was near Asheville at 06z Saturday at 18z. Here at 00z its over South Central Alabama at the same hour.
  13. We are around 24 hours out for AMZ and our west sider from this starting. Shelby is under snow returns by 8pm CST tomorrow per the HRRR. It's coming in healthier out west than 18z.
  14. SREF mean is around 7 inches for the Plateau and SE KY. Around 4 inches for Tri/SWVa and nearly 4 for Chattanooga.
  15. The mean is 4 inches for Memphis, 5 for Nashville and Knoxville. Each have a few 10+ inch big hitters. Nashville had a 15 incher.
  16. Another 1993 flashback. WVLT met said "don't believe these big totals you're seeing shared on social media of model out puts. No way it is going to happen." Eerily reminiscent of Matt Hinkin's famous statement in 1993 about not believing the 12+ inch totals and blizzard talk being thrown about. He said 6 inches max back then.
  17. For those asking about snow in East Tennessee in March. 2018 had several days of pretty widespread snow. There was generally 1 to 3 in East Tn and up to 3 or 4 inches in SE Kentucky.
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