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wxmanmitch

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by wxmanmitch

  1. 3.6" final on the front end before flipping to a mix of freezing rain and ice pellets. 31° F. Just did a midnight snow blow of the driveway to remove the snow before it turns to glop and then a glacier...
  2. Light snow has begun here, 26° F. 18z meso models have mysteriously trended warmer (with the NAMs the most so), which is in opposition to radar and surface obs so I'm tossing and going with the 12z suite, which had 4-6" here on the front end with maybe another 1-2" on the back.
  3. 19" on 1.4" liquid here. Nice little snowstorm, but nothing we can't handle around these parts. Depth OTG is ~21".
  4. 12.5" here with 0.84" liquid equivalent. Kind of surprised at how high the SLR is. Just light snow now, but it should increase a bit again soon as the radar appears to be filling in more to my south and west, 29° F.
  5. 8.7" on the board as of 20 minutes ago. Snow intensity varying between light and moderate. Dry, but dense snow up here. 27° F.
  6. Heavy snow, 30° F. Good snow growth so this is easily 1"+ per hour stuff. I'll check back in the morning and let you know where I'm at.
  7. And it has begun. Some low level easterly flow upslope snow already falling out ahead of the synoptic stuff that has yet to arrive from the southwest. Quite breezy. 29° F. Expecting a solid 20"+ dump out of this, maybe 25"+.
  8. 4.2" new snow here. Just missed the heaviest stuff to my S and SW where 8-8.5" fell in parts of the Berkshires. Although there wasn't much wind, I think there was a little upslope assist in that area with the SW flow in the mid levels. A decent little event that serves as a nice appetizer for what could be a very high ceiling snow event here late in the week.
  9. 1.3" so far on .09" liquid, 21° F. Heavier snow has been trying all afternoon to push in from the SW, but keeps weakening as it pushes NE. Someone in the I-90 corridor from Albany into the southern Berkshires pulls a 6-8" out of this, while I probably finish with 2.5-3". Looking forward to what could be a good dump here on Friday, but whether it's a glorified SWFE that dumps 6-10", 8-12" or a slow moving nor'easter that dumps 18-24"+ is still very much up in the air right now. Regardless, I think this is more of an interior elevation threat given marginal temperatures and low that may very well cut inland across SNE.
  10. December 2006 was awful too. El Niño winter with pretty much nothing until early February '07. Then NNE made up a lot of ground in the second half that year starting with the Valentine's Day storm.
  11. ORH 77 BOS 56 PVD 50 BDL 52 BDR 34 PSF 81 ALB 68 BTV 70 CON 72 PWM 67 CAR 107 KGINX 59 KRAY 65 KDIT 70 HUBB 84 DXR 48 NYC 31 TAN 42 GON 38 AUG 85 DRYSLOT 82 MITCH HOUSE 133
  12. D+, final snowfall total 117.9". It was just barely good enough not be a total dead ratter, but it was a solidly subpar winter with both below normal snowfall and snowpack retention. Max depth was only 18-19" in January after the MLK weekend storm. A couple of good 18"+ storms would've gotten me to near average, but luck was not on my side with year. There were lots of light to moderate snows from fast moving clippers and SWFEs, but the pattern was generally hostile for nor'easters except for the 1/29 storm that I was only fringed by. Then there was that stalled front storm a week later that brought a general 12-18" just to the north and I had nothing but 32-33° F and rain that ended as flurries. That was a rough week. The winter made a modest late recovery in March after losing most of my pack in late February, but this is not Mt. Mansfield, so it was gone by the end of the month and April saw only a few light to moderate transient snows. Hopefully next winter delivers big!
  13. I was under that streamer for a couple of hours after the dynamic snow pulled out. Not sure what caused it, but I don't think it was purely lake effect. Those streamers definitely enhance as they upslope through here, regardless of their cause. The progressive flow this winter hasn't been good for the "Woodford cloud". Typically you want big closed lows off to the northeast that wrap around moisture and disturbances for a few days to get the big totals and this is much more likely to occur with a decent -NAO pattern.
  14. 11.3" storm total with still some upslope -SN ongoing. I had about 4" from the synoptic part of the storm, but the backside with it's upslope and streamers has definitely overachieved. Pure fluff except the synoptic stuff underneath which is denser, but still dry. That said, I've officially passed the 100" for the season with 102.2" as of now. It's been a frustrating winter locally, but it has at least earned a passing grade...
  15. Looks like ~4" of fluff here so far. I wasn't expecting more than 2-3" and we have plenty to go. Maybe I can pull a 6-8"?
  16. 2.27" of wasted precipitation from this storm, most of it rain. I had heavy rain and 31.5-32.0° F Thursday night so it didn't accrete at all, which was a good thing or else I would've likely had issues with tree damage, power and telecom. I had about 1/10" of ice accretion yesterday morning after the precipitation lessened and temperatures dropped into the 20s. It was topped off with 0.7" of snow/sleet. This was not a CAD event as it had slowly advancing cold from the N and NW as opposed to retreating cold air left behind by a cold high sliding east. My location is often one of the last to shed cold around here in such events, but I was one of the last to get cold this go around, saving me from the worst of the ZR. The west slope and Hudson Valley definitely got it worse. Two big swings and misses this past week. It's been a brutal week and a lackluster winter season with only that one mediocre synoptic storm on MLK Day. Season snow total at a paltry 61.3", I'd guess average to date should be 95-100".
  17. 1.7" of arctic pixie dust here, 0.16" liquid equivalent, -2° F. Just another day at 2K+ in Vermont where we never get big snowstorms anymore...
  18. 12.3" of snow with 1.27" LE as of 4 pm. Expecting another 2-3" on the backside overnight.
  19. 8.3" of super dense snow as of 9 am, but we've probably added a half inch or an inch since then. I haven't melted it down yet, but I bet there's at least an inch to an inch and a quarter in this stuff. There are waves of snow that range between light and heavy. Snow growth is better now than at any other point during this storm as we have CAA aloft from the south. Most of the storm has featured a fine, rimey snow very reminiscent of a SWFE. No sleet or rain whatsoever. 29° F with a brightening sky at the moment.
  20. Eagerly awaiting the first flakes from what looks to be a doozy here. I knew those NAM runs from a couple of days ago were way too warm as it overdoes WAA in storms with strong dynamical cooling processes. It's best with run of the mill SWFEs, but not these storms. The E to SE LLJ slamming into the Greens is a big win, giving my spot the maximum possible upslope assist. Modeling is averaging around 2 inches of QPF here from both the front and back of the storm, pretty much all of it snow. Worst case scenario, there may be some brief mix around the time the occlusion comes through here from the south late morning, early afternoon tomorrow, but the 18z 3-km NAM keeps me all snow and has a max temperature of around 32-33° F before we start getting CAA from the south tomorrow afternoon. Boy do we need this! This is white gold for the ski areas and winter sports around here as it's been a rather anemic winter so far.
  21. 20° F and overcast. I think I see a tiny little under the radar snowflake from time to time too. I had a minimum temperature of -7° F yesterday, which was the coldest since last winter. I had a cheap midnight high of 7° F though since the arctic boundary didn't reach my location until around 2 AM. The daytime high was -3° F despite full sunshine. I had 3.4" of lake effect snow with 0.2" LE Sunday night through Monday night. Total snow depth is 6". While it's not much, it's a full on Currier and Ives winter scene out there with snow and ice on the trees. So much better than that garbage pattern we had December into the first week of this month with rain, freezing rain, fog, and mud. Saturday's arctic shot is the real deal, and I fully expect double digit negatives here Saturday AM for the first time since MLK Day 2019. It doesn't look like there will be a cheap above zero midnight highs either as this boundary comes in late Friday. The Sunday night and Monday storm appears be our first significant synoptic snowstorm. While it may take a track over or west of us, the storm could occlude off to the SW of us, which in essence cuts off the warm air from the low center. Although a track like this would usually be the kiss of death, not this time. Worse case scenario it could be a good front end dump followed by a dryslot with some light snow or mix. Also, an occluded storm to the SW of us could result in a nice firehouse LLJ from the E or ESE, plastering the Greens and their eastern slope with a solid 12"+ storm while the western slopes get shadowed with strong downslope winds. All of this assumes and early capture by the 500 mb low as much of the guidance currently depicts, but if that doesn't happen, the storm will probably take a more traditional coastal storm track along or just off of the shoreline. This could put us in the midlevel deformation zone with a storm that hopefully doesn't occlude as fast. Either way, there's finally some legit hope for us snow lovers in what has been a lean winter so far in NNE.
  22. I had 1.7" as of 4 pm, most of it from midday. I haven't measured since then, but I've probably gotten a few tenths more since then. The best of the streamer was a bit north of me. Currently light snow and 8° F.
  23. 0.5" of sleet, 0.1" ice accretion, 0.48" LE. Dodged a bullet here as a lot of the precipitation was sleet instead of freezing rain. I think upslope cooling associated with the SW winds resulted in my spot having a colder p-type than many of the surrounding areas. The only non-upslope wind direction here is NE.
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