dan11295
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Everything posted by dan11295
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Seen some some preliminary damage estimates of ~$5 Billion., or comparable to Sally.
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I saw a graph a few days ago that showed a similar spike from wastewater in Metro Boston. Sure enough MA numbers are up 50% in last 7 days.
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Early IHME models had no cases after early June...
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Last four Fridays: 52k, 61k, 71k, 81k. Not quite a steep as slope as the summer spike. Big difference are we are already above the summer spike peak numbers now, it is much more spread out throughout the entire country, and we are heading toward winter which is more conductive to viral transmission due to more people gathering indoors, colder/drier air in general etc.
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You mean Delta (I know easy to get Greek Letters mixed up)
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Wilma was Oct 24. 1921 Tampa Bay Hurricane was Oct. 25
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I know it's a Weatherflow thing mostly (maybe some other sites have similar deals). Basically selling access to the data. Wundergound stations don't have this restriction for example.
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While this is certainly true compared to March and April. From about mid-summer on the calculated CFR using a 3 week time lag between cases and deaths has been steady at 1.5-1.8%. Worth noting that right now we are about 3 weeks after cases really started to rise again.
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From some preliminary reports sounds like there was a fair amount of damage in the MS Gulf Coast, Bay St. Louis-Gulfport. I know there were multiple reports of 100+ gusts in those areas, plus the surge. Fairly large power outage event throughout the Southeast also. 2.4M customers out from LA-NC
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Appears most of New Orleans metro avoid the strongest winds thankfully with strongest winds east of the center. Am guessing you may see more damage from parts of MS Gulf coast than N.O. proper.
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1.5M Customers without power now from Louisiana to Georgia. EDIT: now 1.8M outages rising rapidly in N Georgia, although cant find any ASOS gusts over 45-50 last hour in GA.
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The overall core structure is holding together very well, baro forcing at work for sure.
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74 MPH gust in Mobile last hour. That is stronger than anything they saw from Sally, lol
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I figured SW MS would gettting some strong winds being in the SE quad, especially once it intensified. With the fast movement this is going to be a fairly significant inland wind event as well ( as has been talked about).
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Short duration will limit damage in New Orleans proper for sure.
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West side of N.O. will probably have minimal damage due to asymmetric nature of Zeta.
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This was a lot different than watching Sally move 2 mph for a day.
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New Orleans hasn't seen its strongest winds yet. looks like new band formed in eyewall just SW of the city.
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Three landfalling Cat 2+ hurricanes in Louisiana this year. Two with Greek names! Plus two 12 miles apart in landfall location.
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Strongest winds are on the East/SE side right? They (N.O.) should miss the strongest winds I think. Places like Belle Chasse i think get whacked pretty good i think,
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Its fairly common, but not always true. Laura didn't have a weak south side.
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I am sure they will look at Zeta in post analysis for potential upgrade. As said, makes no difference as to the current impacts. Many people are going to get a lot more than they were expecting wind wise.
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MS Gulf Coast needs to watch out for the winds too, this isn't going to weaken much before they get the SE quad.
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With the storm strengthening on approach and fast forward speed this is going cause wind issues a good ways inland I would think.
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I am hopeful New Orleans avoids the strongest winds mostly since they may avoid the SE quad
