dan11295

Finished with 118k but no Missouri (Kansas reported every other day during the weekdays). Last two weeks have seen a clear acceleration of case growth. Today was 26k above last Thursday, which was 18k above the Thursday before. This kind of trajectory cannot continue without major strains on health care systems in many areas (it already is in some areas).

Can add 4400 in Indiana. Also outside of this forum area but the numbers of the Dakotas are really bad when you consider their population. SD 1360 cases 22 deaths ND 1536 cases 29 deaths (I wonder what % of cases are being caught 6.5% of ND has now tested positive)

The major spike started in the upper Midwest, and has now spread through most of the West, Plains & OH Valley. Northeast is steadily climbing now. The interior Southeast and CA are about the only areas relatively stable for now.

People are kind of done with the tropics I sense, plus its kind of not doing anything at the moment.

only 297 were new, rest were from a while ago. Regardless Europe has major problems, new daily hospital admissions in France were 3700 yesterday, not far below their Spring peak of 4300.

Some great fall weather coming up for rest of this week.

All states in Midwest (WI, MI, IL, OH, IN) have seen significant jumps in hospital numbers past few days, PA rising steadily as well now.

Pretty sure the answer is no, for many reasons. Horrible area to chase, don't even know if foreigners can enter right now etc.

People have to remember that these cases are from people getting exposed 10-14 days ago on average. 5-6 days for symptoms, 1-2 days to get the test, then 3-7 days on average to get it back (this number can vary based on type of test and setting (hospital vs test site, etc.)

In one city that may not be a hot spot. The trends of the all metrics in the state as a whole are up.

Remember at the 1 am advisory NHC had Eta as a tropical storm

Not sure I would go <900 mb. No question this is a Cat 5. 915 135 kt

I direct hit on the only population center in the area would be unfortunately, luckily not a whole lot of other population centers in that area. Hopefully most of the fain falls in the swamps.

http://meteorologia.aerocivil.gov.co/radar/loop/aoi/ADZ/Reflectividad de Base 0.5 deg Eyewall visible on radar from San Andres Island Good news is the general landfall area is sparsely populated.

Evaluation is certainly unusual. Brings circulation of Eta back over water North of Honduras brings to NE almost to Cuba where it gets blocked by the ridge, pushed southwest a bit before getting picked up by the trough. Of course we are talking 10 days in the future and a lot is dependent on what happens with Eta after CA Landfall. If the circulation dies over land it may be moot.

Some states don't report on weekends anymore (CT/RI). But Michigan and Nebraska had numbers last Sunday but not today. With those who it would have 74-75k most likely. Last few Sundays have been up ~10k compared to last, so trend has not changed, or even accelerated slightly

Basically the entire Northern US from ID/UT to MI/OH and everywhere in between is not on a good path here, to put it gently. Northeast had low baseline but is rising too. Besides the Texas spike, other states in the south are showing initial signs for rising numbers again too, i.e. 1900 in AZ today. As said above this is not sustainable. I know they just closed indoor dining in Chicago Metro but is that really going to be sufficient at this point? Hospitalizations in IL are now at 60% of their April peak.

I think technically Greek names can't get retired. If it was a normal name It probably has 50/50 shot of being retired. Seems to be close to Sally in terms of impact Just another reason to move away from this list to a separate list with regular names or just have a rotating list of six names. The latter option would help with the issue with certain letters "i" for example getting retired so often. Another issue with the Greek list is Zeta, Eta & Theta sound very much alike. We could have easily had Zeta and Eta active at the same time.

Kind of weird to see outage from a hurricane and ice storm so close on the map like that.

Significant rises in case numbers are now occurring in many states at once. we are down to 5-6 states not seeing either steady rise or sharp spike. Those states all are lower latitude/warmer areas, besides the OH Valley much of the plains saw a sharper increase this past week, same with the northeast. My state (Mass.) was up 50% this week, and we have high mask use compliance here. Really suggesting to me seasonality factors are taking over and causing Rt to rise compared to the summer.

True, hospitals are designed to run in high as capacity as possible. empty beds mean no money. part of was really hurting hospitals this year was everyone postponing their "elective" surgery (kind of a misnomer because in reality it just means any procedure not necessary to preserve life in the short term).Meant less money for the hospital and people with worse health issues because they delayed. Anyways,. back to weather. Didn't mind the snow actually, even being so early.

Got about 3" here in Maynard. stuck to the trees nice, but not enough snow to cause tree damage/power issues.

Yes they do, its called a flu season. Other health issues tend to be more prevalent in the winter as well. Of course per CDC flu hospitalizations don't start normally rising until December and we don't have 20k+ hospitalized with the flu through the entire year. Unless you are in El Paso, there is plenty of hospital capacity available. Texas is a big state

Seen some some preliminary damage estimates of ~$5 Billion., or comparable to Sally.

I saw a graph a few days ago that showed a similar spike from wastewater in Metro Boston. Sure enough MA numbers are up 50% in last 7 days.