Jackstraw

I still don't understand, WHY toilet paper? I must be missing something lol.

3 inches on the board and still coming down. Will it keep coming or turn to crap? It's half time, we'll see how the last 2 quarters go. This is ALMOST as good as tournament ball, well at least it's something lol.

Right?!!! Us folks down here in the snow desert should change St. Pattys day to 12/25 and make Xmas in March lol.

I was a field service engineer for 10 years before my current job and was NEVER home, sometimes gone 2 or 3 weeks at a time. I got to travel all over the US and Canada which was great but I got so sick of living out of hotels and eating at restaurants besides being away from my wife and family for such long periods. Took my current job because it allowed me to be home and now the wife hates me lol. I work 90% from my home office, occasionally getting to go in for corporate crap or a rare customer onsite. My friends who go to a workplace say I have it made but it really is hard. When I said its not what it's cracked up to be is because working from home almost all the time requires a lot more discipline than most people realize. It's really easy to get distracted and complacent. Didn't take me long to figure that out. I built a shed away from the house that's my home office so I have some kind of "feel" like I'm going to work . I will admit, the 50 foot commute is pretty sweet lol.

Yes, they just closed schools here for the next month. I've worked from home for the last 6 years. Trust me it's not all it's cracked up to be. I agree with you about getting outside and enjoying life away from 4 walls be it a workplace and/or home. I do it just to maintain sanity. Heck I'll sleep out in the yard half the time in the summer lol. I agree with you about getting out and about. This may be a blessing for some if they do that and get them back in touch with parts of life that the rat race of modern life has taken away. Not likely to get sick in the woods! Actually I'm getting ready to go fishing at a local spot this morning for the first time in 2020. See if I can't coax me out some slow moving snow bass lol

Heard the Gov. of NY say the best way to control this is testing and to isolate the "positive's". That's all we need, a label for those infected geez. Like ShaumburgStormer posted, these precautions are being implemented to protect those most vulnerable, mainly infants, folks with for whatever reason have a depressed immune system and those over 60, of which we have one of the largest elderly populations in US history right now. That's also a big difference from say 1918, there's a lot more vulnerable today. On one of the flying channels on youtube I watch the guy had a Physician/pilot on there that gave a very balanced discussion on what's going on, which is extremely difficult to filter through with all the crap out there. Some of the things he brought up made very good sense. The fact that those who do pass from this die from pneumonia, and it is a viral pneumonia so antibiotics don't help. He stated the mortality rate from this is around 3% where as the 1918 was around 2% without the advances in medical care we have now. The one thing he said that struck me is that within the medical community the biggest fear is its going to settle down as we enter the summer but when we get back into the colder months next fall it very likely is going to come back with a vengeance. The only way to truly control it is via vaccinations so the body can defend itself of which may not be available until late fall early winter. I'm not in a high risk category so honestly I wouldn't be too concerned if I contracted it now, while I'm healthy than take a chance on next winter when something could happen to me health wise to compromise my immune system before a vaccine is available, my body would be ready. Here's a link to that interview plus if your into GA and flying this guys got a great channel....

Ahh, I thought you said around tournament time. I hereby remove you from the castle of weeniedom

No tournament . Can I trade my beer stock for toilet hand paper sanitizer? Honestly, and maybe I'm just an old ****, but I think there's a bit of over reaction going on. My biggest concern is somebody is going to supposedly get someone else mortally sick and relatives or even government are going to go after them. We don't need anymore division in this country. Was already a fight locally over the last couple gallons of bleach at the local store. I mean c'mon.

Ok, Cyclone's wimping out, I'll do it, hopefully put this winter to rest

I would think that cell approaching Bowling Green needs TOR warned. Nice hook, rotation and inflow notch on radar. Was warned 30 min ago

Storms becoming more cellular in central KY. Was a possible debris ball on CC on the one warned just N of Bowling Green but it's also showing a nasty hail core so don't know.

Isolate supercells popping along the MO/AR border, they all are showing rotation and a couple TOR warned.

Tropical season is gonna be a blast this year lol.

If this Tournament storm keeps showing up Cyclone needs to start the thread, he called it a month out

Will be pulling my mushroom hiking stick Monday. It'll tell me when it's time

Euro and Canuk showing some legit arctic air setting in for a couple days late next week/weekend. If it happens and we can get a system come through to tap into it Biloxi will probably get a foot

I don't think I've ever seen this much consistent inconsistency in the models in winter over the conus in my short years following. 1 or 2 hundred miles on tracks this far out, sure. But we've been seeing 3 to 5 hundred mile to shredded nothingness this winter. I know in the tropics models always struggle with weak systems and with weak steering. There really hasn't been strong ridges and strong lows this season and hardly any deep arctic air dropping down, for a lot of reasons that have been posted, and the baroclinic zone has been very low this winter IMO . I wonder if this is causing the problem with the models across the conus. With such a consistent weak split flow across the conus, as fine a resolution as some have (and that is totally subjective) it's just not fine enough to whittle out the details and/or how much climo is influencing some of them (I'm not sure how much climo data they put weight on). Regardless, if this keeps up, I think this may be one of the worse model verification winters in a long time because damn near none of them have verified, especially in our area, for snowfall, or QPF for that matter, outside 24 hours. They're not even verifying that well in the mountains out to the W/NW where it should be close to cut and dry. The mountains in BC should have about 800 inches of snow by now lol. Just my armchair 2 cents but something is really strange this winter model wise. Maybe it will snap back late and cover some of the models butts, however, as has been posted, the long range models don't look that good. But then again 2 months ago the long range looked better than it is right now. If this pans out this may be a winter to study the complete failure IMO of the "new and improved" models across the board. I'll wait for someone smarter than me (which are many) and read the book.

I'm going to code my own model running an algorithm that inputs data from keywords from our sub forum. I bet it's clown maps would be as accurate run to run as these sooper compooters

PT Barnum model

When GRR is optimistic times are tough

With nothing but a possible dab the next 10 days around here on the models (except for the Canuk ), this January has the potential to be pretty much snowless here except for a couple dustings. If that pans out then I'll be looking for a Feb. early March big dog to bookend us the other 2/3rds to our average. Still learning the teleconection stuff but there were several really strong TC's in the WPAC late this year and am just curious if they just pumped extra heat into the northern latitudes and into the Pacific jet and how that influences the PV behavior. At least it doesn't look like the deep freeze is setting in over the next couple weeks. I might start to lose it if we start getting 1050-60 Canadian ridges suppressing the storm track south or east. Current pattern sucks but has a better chance for something as opposed to a deep cold snowless depre ..er..suppression.

It's still snowing here

Albeit that's usually me after midnight, but that damn near made me spit out my coffee lol.

Thar's one thing about living here in the hinterland of winter anxiety, getting hopes up is mea culpa. But on the flip side if it does happen it's like a one night stand with the Lawrence Welk girls in a tub of olive oil

Last 5 runs of the Euro have been pretty consistent on 4-6 inches from about 30 miles east of me all the way up through Toledo inside 72 hours, then another 3-4 with the second system. I'd lock it in except it's all alone with that forecast. Timing is going to be the secret (as it usually is around here until January). Get something coming through during the overnight our chances for snow increase 2 fold.