weatherwiz

I didn't look crazy into the details so just took a quick look but I see what you mean about the ASOS stations maybe mixing out that much...at least on the NAM there is a pocket of significantly drier air at 850 that moves overhead during mid-morning into early afternoon. Obviously being prime heating we would mix rapidly and temps would skyrocket...looks like though we start moistening back up early afternoon so I actually wonder if we see dews start to climb earlier than you would expect?

Being cooped up in the AC all day isn't good and why would anyone want to do that? What's great about AC is being able to use it as a brief refreshment. Like if I was working inside all day with the AC blasting...I would get chilly and would need to switch to jeans and probably a long sleeved. The AC is meant as a relief...not chilling in front of all day with your feet up.

The dew situation tomorrow will be interesting. It def seems like they will be lower than today but we may not mix below 70...at least widespread. I do think we may see some interesting dew spreads across the region though. Interesting the NBM is most aggressive product with mixing but its actually not the hottest product either. Hell, NAM has BDL 100-101 with dewpoint of 70. Looks like if we get down to 68 or 69 then we could be seeing some 102-103

I'm writing in my notebook and I love how my arm sticks to the paper and the sound it makes when removing. I'll never get tired of this

who wants to be inside on a day like today?

Everything is sticking to me...everything. Its so enjoyable and soothing. Listening to the hum of the AC, the birds chirping, feeling random blasts of hotter air, the sound of the leather slowly ripping away from my fanny as I try getting off it. This is just beautiful.

I am. Been sitting out here since about 7:57 AM.

Best chance for storms Wednesday may actually be just inland of the CT shoreline and into E MA

This is just so special...there are no other words to describe it. Everyone should be outside and sweating and enjoying this terrific experience

Be interesting to see what happens. Guessing for areas to exceed 100 we'd want to see their dewpoints mix to like 68 or 69? Just basing that off MOS/NBM and looking at dews for locations that are forecast to be above 100 and forecast to be like 98-99.

We are capped and we have no no forcing mechanism/ trigger to develop any convection. Even if we had something weak...with 700mb temps of +12C that is one helluva cap to bust. You would need some strong s/w to really bust that. A cap like this is even difficult to break out in the midwest

Truly special

12z MET looks like it ticked up a degree or two tomorrow

Just love this...sitting outside and my clothes are stuck to me. My computer chair is leather so when I get up, I need to use extra force because I am becoming one with the chair. Someone needs to journal our wonderful stories over the next few days. Just special

7.5-8 C/KM. 2-6km lapse rates even up around 8.5 C/Km.

Looking at the thermodynamic charts is a knife to the chest. We're sitting under 7.5-8 C.KM mlvl lapse rates and have already generated 2500-4000 J/KG of SBCAPE (we'll end up with widespread 3000-5000) and 2000-3000 J/KG of MLCAPE and should end up with 3000-3500 and LI values -5 to -8. This is about as unstable as you'll ever see it around here and it all goes to waste

There is heat and then there is heat. This is the upper echelon of our heat here...until we're somehow (and some day) able to get to the next level which would be widespread 105-110. It's the opposite spectrum in the winter with the cold (outside of I guess NNE) we don't get sub-zero cold frequently.

Working outside today...debated if I should or not but I am already coated in a thin layer of sweat. This is going to be special. I may take a joy ride later today and just listen to the hums of AC units cranked on full blast. There is a gratification to it, like taking a joy ride around the holidays and seeing all the outdoor light displays. Want to see pictures of people sweating, people at the beach, people fanning themselves, sweaty cracks, lines of people at ice cream places. There is really nothing more special than this.

Just like we discussed the other day

Yeah what sucks with this pattern is our severe chances…well at least widespread are super low. Only EML we get is tomorrow. If we get anything with the front mid-week…could be some good storms but severe would be more localized. More often than not Big heat doesn’t end with good severe here

And I’m in favor of the distance requirement increase. The term derecho should be confined to the top 1% of severe squall lines. And not just in distance but degree and extent of wind damage and (if possible) measured wind gusts.

TBH, with the new (well not that new) distance requirement we may never see a derecho again in the Northeast unless it’s something that rips across the upper mid-West and northern Great Lakes, southern Quebec, and then finally our region. It would have to be something ongoing…like what occurred in 1995

I like fire flies. Saw some a few nights ago. Reminds me of childhood trying to catch them. Install your ACs!

You never know what a full moon elicits

Staying at a hotel!