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weatherwiz

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  1. weatherwiz
    Another vigorous shortwave moves overhead during the day Monday with extremely unseasonably cold temperatures aloft yielding very steep mid-level lapse rates. Combination of surface heating and dewpoints into the 40’s will contribute several hundred J/KG of MLCAPE. inverted-v signature on forecast soundings indicate potential for strong, gusty winds with any thunderstorms while the super cold air aloft will promote potential for small hail/grauple.
  2. weatherwiz
    Thanks! wow not bad at all up there! I was definitely hoping/I guess leaning towards the CCB cranking earlier. Guessing CT didn’t get much in the way of anything?
  3. weatherwiz
    Are there any PNS statements or snow total maps? Didn’t see anything on NWS pages.
  4. weatherwiz
    Happy birthday @CoastalWx @RUNNAWAYICEBERG
  5. weatherwiz
    yup...that's a pretty significant amount of CAPE for this type of setup. I'm surprised SPC doesn't have a general thunderstorm risk out
  6. weatherwiz
    yeah tomorrow is going to be nuts...strong gusty winds, cold, snow squalls with grauple!!!!
  7. weatherwiz
    Well after this we can finally turn our attention to severe wx season. It's coming!!!!!
  8. weatherwiz
    It was fun while it lasted Yeah Saturday afternoon it going to be winter-like...cold temperatures, gusty winds, squalls...it's going to be a pretty crazy day
  9. weatherwiz
    Well this weekend was cute but after this it's back to reality...should be tracking severe wx...like a snow event would be super fun but it's severe weather season damn it
  10. weatherwiz
    At least Saturday afternoon is still in the cards...going to be numerous squalls with grauple and strong winds. Going to feel like December out there
  11. weatherwiz
    GFS holding it's own regarding getting the CCB going
  12. weatherwiz
    Doesn't seem like the NAM wants to phase...if it were to phase it would probably be a solid hit. So I guess we just have to decipher what the odds of a phase are and if there is a phase how quickly does it happen?
  13. weatherwiz
    my map was predominately NW Hills and NE Hills for any meaningful accumulations (4-6'' up in northern Litchfield County) then a strip of 2-4'' across larger part of that county and then up your way
  14. weatherwiz
    yeah let's not overlook Saturday afternoon...which was actually the original purpose of the thread before the snow threat evolved Too be honest more people could see some sort of frozen throughout the day Saturday then Friday night.
  15. weatherwiz
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/
  16. weatherwiz
    Euro cranks that CCB in ME...wow
  17. weatherwiz
    This is some pretty crazy mixing for around here
  18. weatherwiz
    Even better!!! Can't overlook Saturday afternoon either
  19. weatherwiz
    That's what my initial look was...it wasn't phasing as much.
  20. weatherwiz
    This is pretty nuts...decent clustering between 0-1'', however, also several members going wild!!
  21. weatherwiz
    maybe that's why the NAM isn't as wrapped up with this?
  22. weatherwiz
    This was the 6z GFS...can't wait for 12z but also look at early Saturday afternoon...definite signal for either snow squalls or like grauple/hail showers mixed with snow...hahahaha
  23. weatherwiz
    Looks like GFS is much stronger with the energy diving in from the OV then the NAM is...maybe even a little lagged on the NAM so it just misses blowing it up more
  24. weatherwiz
    This would be wild. I still like the support for what the GFS/Euro suggest in terms of the CCB strength. There is going to be some pretty strong frontogenesis and jet dynamics support a great deal of upper-level dynamics so I think we should really see the sfc low strengthen.
  25. weatherwiz
    I think there's quite a bit which favors this being the more likely scenario.
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