weatherwiz

Certainly nothing impressive with dews coming this week...probably get back into the 60's mid-to-late week but even then maybe only lower 60's. Not much in the way of heat either...we probably just get back to seasonal levels but not much more than that. Huge questions of how far west that stalled boundary pushes so we're probably looking at the difference between ~80 with dews in the upper 50's and lower 80's and dews in the lower 60's with chances for showers/thunder. I suppose though the risk for some heavy rain can't be ruled out...maybe not widespread.

Insane

NJ again holy shit

Rotation is getting stronger too

Confirmed on the ground.

Holy crap on NJ near Trenton

most exciting thing is the transient rotation ~Milford

I know neither were supposed to...just illustrating that's what is going on and there isn't a heck of a lot popping up outside of what is currently moving across CT. Anything probably going to be rather isolated. Going to bust rather low on the rain side too with this

I suppose if stuff fires up but the radar is not very impressive. There's the heavy area of rain sliding across eastern NY into VT/NH which misses us then you have the rain with embedded supercells sliding east from PA to NJ and ticking CT coast. with the heaviest sliding to our south

Actually CT may be done by like 8 PM

well into the night is like 2-3 AM.

For CT it's not well into the night. For areas east of here it is...especially out by the Cape. That's where the best severe potential exists in SNE.

A taste of fall tomorrow night

overnight into early Friday??? Everything is out of here by mid-to-late evening...at the latest

There is a quite a bit of 3km CAPE around though greatest is SW. The window for that potential seems pretty small with that wall of precip off to the west...that's what is going to kill things. There is activity developing ahead of that batch but the best shear is still well west.

with any severe wx chances well SW of CT.

Should at least be quite the light show for some tonight...especially out east

Cape area stands the best chance

Yes plenty of spin/shear but you need some sort of sufficient CAPE in the layer to utilize it.

Should see some nasty storms down across SE PA but that's about it. Some heavy rain and embedded thunder for us...best light show probably out by Cape. Marginal should be dropped here at some point.

It all evolves through the afternoon and majority is off to our east by mid-to-late evening with maybe some isolated stuff overnight

Tomorrow essentially going to evolve into a heavy stratoform rain with embedded thunder. Probably going to see some flash flooding. Severe threat is well SW of here