weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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Starting to get some bigger flakes in Branford now. I hope this explodes into 15''.
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I think we're flipping to snow in Branford!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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H7-H5 fronto looking nice! Wish I was working from home today. Oh well
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NAM/HRRR looks like it has a decent thump going along I-84. I bet 84 around Tolland tomorrow morning is a bit troublesome
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Now just imagine how bad it would look if you took a picture of that with your camera and posted
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damn this is one tight gradient. dual-pol going to be fun watching the melting layer crash like an alien spaceship in the fields of AZ
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that looks extremely reasonable
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Can watch over the next several hours in how the H7-H5 fronto materializes and where it positions.
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Thanks Steve!
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This is where it's going to be fun. Right under this fronto
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Was away yesterday for my birthday and just got home but nice 12z runs. I liked seeing this at BDL
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Yeah I hope the "disappointment" of not getting damage doesn't overshadow the impressiveness of this system. This system is the legit definition of meteorology. So many processes at play and interactions.
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I think if 925 and 850 can close off a bit farther west that might help draw in colder air in the llvls much faster and as long as the track stays par we would be able to lock it in.
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You get a 100+ 500mb jet streak rounding the base of the trough as it moves through the OV...couldn't ask for anything better in that regard. And we should continue to generate precip on the backside given this look
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Regardless of what happens with snow this is going to be an incredible storm to watch unfold. This could still be quite significant in areas like the Berks...maybe NW CT? I would think though we're going to see some impressive dynamic cooling. Dual pol will be fun to watch with the melting layer crashing. The dynamics with this are through the roof. Also have to think there could be a flood threat (maybe coastal too...have to look at tides).
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Does Kevin Cash get a ring?
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ahahahahahahahaahahahahahaha
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Yeah regardless of whatever winter precip occurs, there is going to be some pretty crazy rainfall rates.
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This jet streak has to be approaching record territory (at least for Oct)
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I'm going to learn how to write Python, get a job at NCEP, and then write code that will eliminate model snow maps from the face of the Earth
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What a sounding near BDL. Time to start sounding the alarms!!!
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This jet streak is absolutely insane for end of October...hell, that's on the wild side for winter. Going to be some incredible lift with this
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the older version did (at least in like the boundary layer area)...the new version had a horrific cold bias...think it was really bad two years ago when it came out though there was some improvement last year. Not sure if any improvement had been done with it though. I want to say yes the GFS was hitting ice potential hard in OK/northern TX for several days and seems to be pretty accurate. I know last year it would go crazy with icing events
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I was wondering whether the GFS cold bias is still a thing, but the position/strength of that high plus the track of the sfc low would certainly lock in some pretty impressive llvl cold. Would also be one helluva fronto band...may even be able to get some pretty decent dynamic cooling too...and down to the sfc.
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oh shit...the spider is alive...someone please send help
