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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. Actually pretty gusty. Can barely open my door have with ease
  2. The stuff is starting to take a more easterly component but it’s progress has started to slow down
  3. going to go soon...debating on where to go. BDL may be a bit too far north so was thinking maybe Avon
  4. OMG...this is so fooking stupid and so freaking frustrating. are you freaking kidding me?????? The WHOLE FREAKING SPC IS DOWN.
  5. been getting these error messages on NWS pages so much lately. embarrassing for government will not put funds/resources to fixing this stuff
  6. That image would be a great kickoff to a June thread
  7. severe threat is extremely low but looks like there could be a decent little light show out that way anyways
  8. OH BOY!!!! This is MLCAPE too
  9. Big increases in numbers on the 19z HRRR at BDL for 7 PM!!!!!!!!
  10. I'm intrigued by sea-breeze boundary down this way too...models continuing to hint at a narrow axis of enhanced 3km CAPE/llvl shear along it
  11. Each run of the HRRR has become a bit more impressive for later this evening. While the storms arrive after peak heating...they move into an environment with better shear and even lapse rates with better llvl moisture.
  12. It will be interesting to see if an increasing LLJ and llvl moisture into the evening will help keep storms going through western sections. But strongly agreed...alot will depend on how organized activity becomes upstream
  13. it didn't really materialize as it looked a few days ago...very weak/non-existent
  14. Trying to bang out as much work as possible. The CAMs are still a bit all over the place but they do agree that there definitely will be scattered convection...and of course greatest coverage across NY/PA into VT. Still a question as to whether we see any discrete storms ahead of the broken line which is where some of the divergence occurs. The environment still looks pretty favorable...just a matter of being able to utilize it
  15. WTF...holy crap. He was such a great guy with tremendous passion. RIP James
  16. Greatest potential tomorrow looks to exist across Warren, Saratoga, and Washington Counties in NY into Addison and Rutland Counties in Vermont. I think there could be a small area of enhanced risk for this area.
  17. "Thank you temperatures and dewpoints" for the 1000-1500 SBCAPE values...though SBCAPE should probably be between 1500-2500. they may have meant to say MLCAPE between 1000-1500
  18. where do you get the HREF beyond 24-hours? edit: the TOR/WIND/HAIL probs only go to 24-hours.
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