weatherwiz

Cold pools FTW

Ridiculous

when thunder roars head outdoors

Going to Red Sox/Yankees tomorrow. Couldn't ask for better weather. Love the 4:00 start too...won't get home super late.

Hopefully the roles are reversed this winter and the west gets a trough and we get a massive ridge

Yes, but I don't think this is one of those times. I'm actually a big fan of west-to-east moving warm fronts and potential for severe weather along them but seems like there isn't much in the way of instability to work with along it...there is a bit of a lag between the front and much higher theta-e air. We actually could see the severe threat persist through Sunday night...may actually be higher evening/overnight

I don't really see much going on with the warm front but the afternoon could see some nasty storms (including potential for a tornado) depending on how well we destabilize.

Could actually be a pretty big severe day Wednesday if the front times right

IT'S COMING BABY!!!! It's going to happen....it's happening whether you like it or not. Prepare...prepare

That was awful...that infield was a disaster. Someone could have gotten hurt.

Fenway just got destroyed

from what I've read it's both an unusually high number of tornadoes and a high number of destructive ones.

SO DUMB

Yeah very possible

Also really explains the extreme weather across Europe. I wonder where this PV strength relates historically for this period. Quite unusual not to see the PV weaken moving through the northern hemisphere summer). That may not be a good thing moving into winter...could throw some big wrenches at seasonal forecasts if this isn't taken into account (I would think). I guess there is a chance stratosphere evolution in the fall could help to weaken it but if we have a situation where conditions favor a (further) strengthening PV...yikes. Although a La nina/strong PV combo could make for some fun periods.

That's just looking at D10-15. Was talking about way farther down the road. I think the stuff I saw was looking more late August and September. The one thing that has been standing out to me is a persistent trough feature which at times digs into the upper-Great Lakes region. Should that theme continue into the fall and we get a scenario of a tropical system nearing the EC and the continued strong WATL block...there would be an increased likelihood for not only something to shoot up the coast but potential for enhancement from that trough (similar to Isaias last year).

If this pattern continues to persist moving near the peak of tropical season we'll certainly need to watch out. What kinda pisses me off is every year you always see someone on social media hype up the crap that "SNE needs to watch out this fall" and all crap like that does is lessen the significance of that when that possibility is really there...and this really could be one of those falls. There will probably have to be some type of significant weather occurrence to really break this pattern and many long-range models actually establish a pattern which is even more favorable moving into the early fall.

that's going to be moving away from the states

Smoke/haze should increase moving through the day today. It actually felt a bit chilly this morning...but only briefly.

Sunday not looking so hot

llvl had to really be lacking. Given how steep those lapse rates are we were only able to generate ~1000 MLCAPE? The smoky sky hurt heating too and we never really eroded CIN

can't rule out a few pop up cells as the front approaches but pretty much done

yes

Watch for all of CT except Litchfield County until 8:00 PM.

they probably meant to say watch out for nothing