weatherwiz

Wow Logan gusted told 61 mph

I should just take the drive down 75 and go into it but I like getting places before it hits

Huge cell blew up just south. Can hear the thunder ughhh

Nice bow over Winsted

About to get some sexy winds!!!

Some very weak rotation

I feel like I might get blown away

Wow pretty solid outflow winds here

Might even go into Suffield though I don't know any spots there but sure I could find one. There is this cute little ice cream place by the airport which is on Suffield side but may need to go deeper into Suffield

Headed to BDL in a few!!!

Wow. BDL dropped to 58 last hour

Your dewpoint is 70???

I'm not totally sure how far east the severe threat will hold. There is more than enough dynamical support, however, instability is lacking due to poor mid-level lapse rates and low dewpoints. The wind threat is thriving off of dry low-level air (large Td) and steep low-level lapse rates. However, models do show some theta-e pooling which may increase dewpoints a bit through the remainder of the afternoon and we continue to have good dynamical support with decent height falls. There are also indications this line could form a cold pool somewhat steepening the lapse rates and bumping instability a bit. Not sure how far south in CT this gets though...may be more closer to the Pike or just south

No derecho

What a profile. why can't we get

18z runs slowed timing by quite a bit

If anything the lower dews could help support some wind damage potential due to a stronger T/Td depression...especially if llvl lapse rates remain quite steep even after sunset

Not really because guidance hasn't really looked impressive enough but 12z guidance has come in a bit better so I would think we see a marginal with the 1730z update.

Low-ish dewpoints tomorrow one of the biggest inhibitor in what actually could be a pretty decent day for severe

Is there a max height ASOS stations will report for sky cover/conditions?

The HRRR loves those supercells But there definitely could be some enhanced shear right along the boundary up there.

Could see a few strong storms later tomorrow

There are certainly going to be several shortwaves and fronts thrown our way over the next 10-14 days with that signal of troughing into the Great Lakes region so it will certainly be "active" with shower/thunderstorm chances. We will probably see a mixture of dry periods/unsettled periods with each period probably lasting 2-3 days at a time. Leading into the unsettled periods we'll see some warm/hot and humid weather and behind the fronts it will be seasonable-to-below average with very low dewpoints.

There is certainly some pretty solid elevated CAPE around. Only issue is convective coverage. Should see some storms around later on, especially western areas, and what does form could have a decent amount of lightning.

It’s kinda chilly out