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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. hmm that's a nice looking potentially developing meso on that cell heading towards me in Springfield!!!!!!! Maybe I'll get to see the Springfield tornado...only 11 years later
  2. Nice storms in NW CT. Could be some hail in that nasty core
  3. Looks like maybe showers in Boston Saturday...boooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo was hoping to go out and bar hop after and celebrate the Bruins clinching a playoff spot
  4. When there is the chance for convection... Clearing through the mornings equals afternoon severe thunderstorm warnings
  5. While there remains some uncertainty, there has been a strengthening consensus that a warm front boundary will penetrate at least Connecticut and the western half of Massachusetts Thursday with anomalously warm low-level airmass within the warm sector. Given the likelihood for partly sunny skies within the warm sector, this should yield temperatures climbing into the 70's to even near 80 away from coastal influences. While moisture will be lacking (dewpoints only into the 50's) the presence of steep mid-level lapse rates (6.5 - 7 C/KM) will help contribute to modest instability (~250 J/KG of MLCAPE). Combination of modest forcing from the approaching cold front and instability should aid in the development of a broken line of showers and thunderstorms. Given low-level jet ~30 knots plus inverted-V profiles this will result in the potential for some localized strong-to-damaging wind gusts within the line with the greatest potential west of the I-84 corridor. I am shocked at the Slight risk. Thought we would only see marginal. The forcing doesn't look that impressive (with only aid from the front) and the LLJ actually weakens through the day.
  6. Time to make a thread for tomorrow's severe weather. It's not a huge deal...we're still some weeks away from real threats but little events like these are like 1-2'' snowfall events in winter. May be small but big things come in small packages
  7. I wish I was in the South. I can't get over this combo of CAPE/helicity. The hodo is so large it doesn't even fully fit on the box
  8. I wonder if they typed that from the basement
  9. I'm expecting a marginal risk for Thursday when the D3 outlook comes out tonight
  10. Getting into a moderate or high risk is just exciting for some reason but at the end of the day damage is damage
  11. I think the Berks and Litchfield County were included with that high risk
  12. I agree with that. I don’t think we could see a high risk here either…unless it was exactly like you said….a derecho plowing through and one of those that lasts from like the upper-Midwest into Canada then comes across parts of NY/PA through New England
  13. Still watching (and hoping) for a severe threat Thursday. Itching for a thread but don’t want to count my chickens before they shit
  14. I drove through like 7 different downpours from Springfield to Ansonia and couldn’t get hail…WTF????? Like the clouds couldn’t give me hail
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