weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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I wonder if we see a marginal risk tomorrow from like along and east of I-91
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GFS 79 for PWM tomorrow, NAM 73, and NBM 85
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It's a scary situation for those along the coast. The coast has seen substantial development since Bob in the early 90's.
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Every year we are tempting fate when it comes to tropical
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I thought we were talking about 1944 not 1844
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Did people complain about sensors then?
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Of course strengthens east of here
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I am so sick of the damn summers. They’re fooking fake and garbage…trash. Tired of this fake Convective crap, tried of crap trying to be turned into crap, tired of these stupid pieces of crap garbage crap being labeled as not crap when they are crap b/c they’re crap. I mean I don’t even know what to say anymore. Just why…why…why. It’s so fooooking maddening ughhhhhhhhh
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Might end up causing that line to weaken rather quickly soon
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I know there are the cooler temperatures up in Maine and just north of there, but that seemed to be more of a product of stratiform rain which develops along a developing stationary front associated with the frontal system. Then some weird looking mini high pressure at the surface but lots of clouds/moisture in the llvls. I suppose there could be a weak BD signal there given the winds but it seems...fake lol.
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Is it even really a backdoor though?
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Looks like the GFS is much faster with the FROPA and then has some sort of weak "high" pressure at the sfc but it looks rather weird. The Euro seems to make much more sense with how the first half of the week evolves...very slow progressing front which either washes out or stalls just off the coast.
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Severe Weather Threat Week...so many threats!!!
weatherwiz replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
Wow that's pretty impressive given the shear, especially given CAPE isn't totally out of this world. Sometimes those days we get like 3500-4000 SBCAPE and 2500 MLCAPE are more fun than lower CAPE/higher shear. -
storm cellars freak me out b/c they're probably loaded with spiders and centipedes and millipedes. I'd much rather take my chances with flying debris.
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I want to buy or build a hose on wide open farm land and then build a big shed with a flat roof and put a hammock on the roof so during the summer I can lay in the hammock and watch giant cumulonimbus in the distance. That would be sick.
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It's had it's moments. I mean we'll likely see some at least widely isolated activity later on across western sections.
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Hoping for a thunderstorm later on. HRRR has some action around.
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Here is the 500/700 height anomalies the past month. Really not what you would like to see for the advection of EML's. I think that area of below-average heights was displaced a bit too far south (and east) and that 700mb pattern I think you want to see a stronger ridge signal across the southeast and maybe more of a trough signal in the West.
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I thought for sure we would see a more active convective pattern based on the H5 looks. When you look at just the pattern it was one that appeared favorable for such. But this just goes to prove that having a favorable pattern is only a small piece of the cake. We had favorable mid/upper-level flows, heat/humidity, but we lacked the advection of steeper lapse rates and majority of shortwave forcing happened just too far northwest.
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We never get heat waves to end with derechos anymore...depressing. Damn you climate change
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Surprised this comes at a shock. Was mentioned here a few days ago. Seemed like a real good probability there would be mid/high clouds, at least in NNE given the proximity of the boundary off to the West.
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Thank God. You can tell just how garbage it is given the fact the NBM factors numerous models and it always seems to be closer to the GFS than NAM.
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Why do they even run it (MET)? It's horrific with forecasting temperatures. It seems to only ever be useful if there is a boundary nearby or a situation involving the potential for widespread precipitation.
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For BDL tomorrow: MAV: 90 MET: 84 (LOL) NBM: 93 But be interesting to see how high we can get tomorrow. NAM is quite aggressive with developing convection quite early and there's probably going to be quick cloud development tomorrow.
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I can't wait to go on my Poke walk today!!! Hopefully the heat/humidity don't scare the Pokemon away
