weatherwiz
-
Posts
76,499 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by weatherwiz
-
NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO -
NO SNOW MAPS....PLEASE FOR THE LOVE OF GOD NO MORE SNOW MAPS.
-
It's cyclical, we go through several year stretches of putrid winters, then several year stretches of great winters. If we go through another couple winters like this in a row then there is something definitely wrong with the climate.
-
The good thing is we will be entering a stretch of great winters very soon.
-
Well this winter has been an unfortunate dud, however, we can't sulk for too long as severe weather season is RIGHT around the corner. This thread has been started a bit later then usual, but with some increasing winter potential moving through late February and early March the winter torch was lit a bit longer. Anyways we are 60 days away from May 1st!!!!!
-
Time to fire up the May 1st thread. Severe weather season is less than two months away!!!!
-
Well looks like a low is blossoming. Now that it's actually occurring this should get ingested into the 0z models so hopefully that will help reduce alot of the uncertainty. Not just for our region but for the northern Ohio Valley...what a brutal pain of a forecast there
-
That sounds extremely reasonable, great way to go
-
If NAM is poo poo I'm really liking this area for max potential
-
I don't think even Linus Ullmark can stop this warm tongue
-
Same thing with the vorticity. The vorticity is through the roof but it's not necessarily one consolidated piece of energy. It's like a giant unorganized cluster of vorticity.
-
What's kind of interesting is regarding the parent low, it looks like models (especially mesos) never really develop a defined circulation. Almost looks like a series of mesolows which must be tied into the convection. This would certainly explain the NAM being removed from other guidance.
-
Oh hail yeah. Now that's a giant hail producer
-
Not only will today/tonight's convection play a factor, but tomorrow's convection too. I'm still puzzled at the expansive slight risk, but that area of enhanced risk is the focal point. Pretty strong signals for a rather small, but intense line of thunderstorms to move northeast through that corridor. Depending how robust that is that may really throw some wrenches in.
-
Maybe after my 9.5% beer during the Bruin game tonight my feelings will change
-
It's bizarre but you just can't toss a model b/c its not a desirable solution. I mean outside of swaying from other guidance, there's really no way to say with any certainty if it's an outlandish solution. But like I mentioned earlier, once we have an actual low developed (which that process is currently happening) and the convective episode is ongoing, the models will have a much better handle. for now, nothing can be tossed.
-
that is one insane jet streak rounding the base of the trough...120+ knots at 500mb...wowzers
-
maybe it incorporates sleet? but the real answer is b/c those products are trash
-
Great post. One thing I noticed since moving in with my girlfriend is they SUCKKKKKKKKKKK with her roads. They didn't come by to plow the road Tuesday until like 1:30 PM. In the few storms since I've been there (well all last winter really) the road would be **** for days. Our snow guy came at 7:30 and I happened to look outside and the road was PERFECTLY clear.
-
Yeah just looking through some bufkit profiles. Outside of the heavier omega snow ratios will be crap. Definitely closer to 7:1 or even 6:1. Where omega is quite significant ratios may even be closer to 15:1.
-
If 18z guidance continues to be this suggestive with the thump it may be time to go big
-
Even on the paltry NAM it has some hefty omega aloft. I seriously have no clue which way to hedge right now
-
OMG This is BDL. that omega
-
Great post and information!!!
-
Here is GFS bufkit for BOS. That would be some heft snow rates
