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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz
    Can't read the article, but did they really call the 3-year La Nina unprecedented? They're certainly uncommon but not sure if I would categorize it as unprecedented. There have been several dating back to the late 1800's and multiple within the ONI dataset going back to 1950.
  2. weatherwiz
    Saturday does look pretty decent for some widespread precipitation within the region. Some folks will get lucky with some heavier rains with convection. Pretty decent dynamics aloft and strong shortwave.
  3. weatherwiz
    I was checking that and it wasn't showing anything. I checked the Vertically Integrated Smoke and 1000/6000 AGL products.
  4. weatherwiz
    Pretty soon all of North America will be covered in smoke. This is what the dinosaurs must have encountered before they went extinct.
  5. weatherwiz
    Doesn't even seem like the HRRR is picking up this smoke...
  6. weatherwiz
    does it factor into the sky cover percentage maybe?
  7. weatherwiz
    I was just thinking that...I wonder if the NBM is factoring that in?
  8. weatherwiz
    Actually this is probably where the NBM probabilities come in huge. Tomorrow would certainly be a night where you probably go with the lowest percentile of the temperature forecast.
  9. weatherwiz
    I'd really like to take some time someday and dig around to see how well the NBM fares compared to MAV/MET. Tomorrow night could be a real fun example to look at. Tomorrow night all about radiation I suppose. Here are some differences MAV, MET, NBM BTV: 31/32/35 BDL: 36/32/36 BOS: 41/42/43 EWR: 42/43/47 CON: 27/26/32 TAN: 29/30/36
  10. weatherwiz
    Pretty colors getting closer
  11. weatherwiz
    I never understood the point of using total QPF charts during a period when majority of precipitation is tied into convective processes as opposed to synoptic.
  12. weatherwiz
    Wednesday will certainly be cool but probably not to the degree the NAM is. What a horrific model when it comes to temperatures.
  13. weatherwiz
    Hopefully we can start getting more serious about some severe wx threats as we go into June. 5 years ago today Connecticut got CRUSHED. What an event that was
  14. weatherwiz
    The Wolf Pack are done
  15. weatherwiz
    Some probably still running heat
  16. weatherwiz
    In North Brookfield today…what a beauty. Only thing that would be better is 95/75…soon enough, soon enough. EDIT: meant 95, not 85. Everyone should be melting hahahaha
  17. weatherwiz
    It's getting a bit ridiculous the obsession with "dry weather" the past few years. You would think we average like 80'' of rain a year. We're also transitioning from more synoptically driven to convectively driven precipitation.
  18. weatherwiz
    That makes more sense.
  19. weatherwiz
    I think so...if it meets certain criteria? Based on what I read from the tweet I saw on Twitter it sounded like it. Said it will go down as the first storm of the year (but maybe I misunderstood). Didn't that storm go warm core for a period?
  20. weatherwiz
    I guess the NHC designated that January storm off the coast as a sub-tropical storm and it will go down as #1 name of the year.
  21. weatherwiz
    Yup...same here. But all so lightly precipitating out again. Almost need 20/20 vision to see the drops.
  22. weatherwiz
    Nice little wet ground to start the day. Must have rained a bit within the past 20-30 min.
  23. weatherwiz
    He’s part of the group who made the site?
  24. weatherwiz
    I would think they will be destroying some records up there, no?
  25. weatherwiz
    Wow...I didn't realize how insane the ridging into western Canada was going to be. This is pretty wild for this early.
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