weatherwiz

Maybe any cloud cover potential will be tied into convective activity across the northern Plains/upper-Midwest into south-central Canada Friday/Saturday? Would seem any clouds streaming would be remnant convective debris...so with that maybe we'd get lucky and they're just thin high clouds...enough to provide some dim but not really hold temps back more then 1-2F from their potential

Saturday certainly has potential to overachieve as does Sunday. In fact, Sunday certainly has the greater potential, but one caveat right now is there may be some mid-to-high level clouds streaming southeast across the region from Canada. Obviously several days out so take with a grain of salt, but if we get strong heating/mixing Sunday 70's should be quite common. Maybe near 75 in the torch spots?

Hoping for no surprise showers. Want to go for a brief walk at some point. Need to walk 0.2km to hatch an egg in Pokemon Go and move on to the next research task.

At the Wolf Pack game with my brother who lives in New Britain and he was checking his outside cameras and it’s hailing there. Tough two tell from the video but it seemed bigger then pea

Per MOS/NBM climo is 64... but I don't remember if that is average for the whole period or the average for the current day (model run)

Well had like 90 minutes of mostly blues skies and sun...now back into doom and gloom

Turning out to be a decent afternoon, albeit cool. Headed to Hartford in about an hour for some Wolf Pack round 2 playoff hockey! Didn't go to a Wolf Pack game all season

I was hoping so, but getting a little nervous. This is a pretty impressive omega block and while there are some signs it relaxes a bit next week, there are emerging signals it may re-develop. And these intense omega blocks can be a PITA to get rid off.

Ha... what do the Mets and your cruisers A/C have in commin? Both shit the bed in the dead of summer

Did you accidentally pepper spray yourself and inhale the fumes?

Yup def hail

Well I have all composites (temperature anomalies, 500mb height anomalies, OLR anomalies, SLP anomalies) completed!!! I have this done for weak, moderate, and strong events focusing on winter as a whole (DJFM) and then looking at DJ and FM. I have a GIF composed of each individual year (and I've posted examples throughout this thread. But what I also did was create a composite grouping years together which I'll show below. The breakdowns are as follows 1) Weak EL Nino 2) Moderate EL Nino 3) Strong EL Nino 4) Super-strong EL Nino 5) Modoki EL Nino 6) EL Nino Forcing (this means that tropical forcing/Walker Cell was displaced farther east then usual, which is the tendency for EL Nino events). 7) Neutral Forcing (while the tropical forcing/Walker Cell has the tendency to be displaced farther east, that is not always the case). Note: Seasons in which the ONI or Ensemble ONI were borderline on the strength definition, I included the years within both sets.

That wouldn't be a bad ordeal for convective hopes

Just have to get through this week.

Rain stopped, clouds racing out, and finally some strong sun!

Still here Got violently sick after OT...I guess 2+ 9.5% beers don't work for me anymore.

I hope this happens everyone ends up with 3 feet

It's May and it feels like crap

Happy severe season Although after last night...don't care

1-day to go!!!

What a week down there

Ahh gotcha, my fault

Well this sucks. The site I use to make composites and custom climo periods https://psl.noaa.gov/data/atmoswrit/map/ doesn't have precipitation within the list of options I know there is this site https://psl.noaa.gov/data/usclimdivs/ but you can't create custom climatologies ughhhhhhhhhhhhh

I was looking at a different period. They're talking about Sunday into Monday night...I was looking more at Tuesday-Wednesday which he posted the snow map for...which I thought was like tuesday-Wednesday?

I was thinking about this some days ago then it seemed like the signal weakened. Just looked at the 18z NAM...good call, NAM has some decent elevated CAPE and even a couple hundred J of MLCAPE move through...could help with drawing down some stronger winds.