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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. Thank you! Was doing a blog post and wanted to show something. But realized I could use the EPS I know we're getting out of ensemble range but good to use to illustrate some thoughts.
  2. Does GEFS on weathermodels not show the lows from individual members
  3. Looks like the GFS is digging slightly deeper with the northern stream. This is probably going to crush the Berkshires down into northwest Connecticut.
  4. maybe the NAM just sucks in the clown range b/c it's feelings are hurt from everyone always talking crap about it
  5. This is probably going to be my biggest fear with this system and something that is going to make forecasting totals extremely difficult. Double band structure. Maybe there could be a scenario where the two converge.
  6. I am getting beyond excited!!! Can’t wait to put together a post/forecast. Probably after bruins this afternoon
  7. The GFS would be a major hit for a large part of Connecticut. It would be dumping snow...probably 2-3'' per hour type stuff. CCB would pivot and rot over Connecticut.
  8. Very few differences between the 0z GFS and 18z GFS through 18z Monday. Pretty laughable when comparing to the NAM obviously
  9. Not great though to see the 0z NAM continue with the trend of less southern stream involvement overall. But the southern stream may be more challenging to deal with then the northern stream really. Convection in the mid-south tomorrow and Sunday could have an influence on southern stream energy.
  10. Obviously it's the NAM still in the clown range, but I don't think it is as good as it seems. It's (hopefully) a bit too amp happy but verbatim, we may be dealing with major dryslot issues quickly with all the goods well west.
  11. Well thus far seems like the 0z NAM is faster then the 18z NAM but a bit slower then GFS (through 0z Mon)
  12. I hope to God someday someone comes up with a script to wipe those ridiculous maps out of all systems
  13. Getting my haircut in preparation for the storm. Don’t need all this hair adding excess weight while I’m standing outside having heavy, wet snow sticking to my head. Don’t need vertebrae damage
  14. I feel pretty confident this will be a crushing from southern VT down through the Berks into Litchfield County. It certainly gets more challenging outside of this area, but my leaning is this will be rather impactful for many.
  15. It is hard to hate this, you're digging the trough into WV now and subsequently building heights a bit north of Maine. Clown range, but hopefully a good sign
  16. Obviously it's the NAM well out of it's wheelhouse but it's hard to really hate it (depending on your location haha)
  17. It does seem slower...watch it be too low and the thing tucks west into the HV
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