weatherwiz

I hope the GFS is in the boat of setting the stage for wave #2 (or whatever number you want to call it).

Tuesday was really rough. It was a drag to get through the work day. My boss said if I needed to sign off early I could. I made it to 4 PM, slept for a few hours, watched a movie, then crashed. The fatigue was very bad as were the chills along with lack of taste. I felt much better yesterday, but a second wave hit me last night. Feeling worse today than yesterday. This is very bizarre but I test positive for covid and my girlfriend tested negative. So she set an appointment with CVS and they tested for flu...also negative. She is very nervous because the last time I got sick (which was also covid) 2 years ago, she got sick too...tested negative for covid/flu and whatever she had set off all the health issues she has now. Yup. I used to be one of those people. Would still do everything normally, go to work, out, etc. It's a much different time now. I am 99% certain I got it from work. I go into the office Tuesday/Thursday and there is only one other person that sits anywhere near me (I have like my own little corner). He sits on the other side of the wall. He was sick walking around the office for two weeks. Last Tuesday, he comes into my area like 2 feet in front of me and talks to me. I went to Wolf Pack/Springfield Friday then went to Bruins/Rangers Saturday afternoon then Wolf Pack Saturday night. I started feeling sick Sunday night. I don't think I would have gotten sick that quick if I was exposed Friday/Saturday. My girlfriend also started feeling sick the same night. My boss asked if I was around anyone sick and I said yeah...and I told him that's why I said I was working remote this past Tuesday. I'm not going to risk getting anyone sick for the holiday's. He agreed with that...if you're sick and have the ability to work from home...take it. One person sick all of a sudden can get 10-20 people sick.

Aww crap my result lit up like a Christmas Tree lol…as soon as I put the swab in the tester both lines lit up right away.

I am Covid positive so I guess I am out I was so looking forward to this.

Alot of similarities, but also some striking differences between the euro and gfs at 120 hr.

The type of setup where we may not have a great idea until just 2-3 days out. This is definitely a setup where you want to pay close attention to the upper-levels and not just focus on MSLP charts.

Agreed, was just thinking that to myself. Use that first system to sort of lay the framework for the second system.

I bet the GEFS will have some pretty decent members for that period. It's really not a terrible look just quite chaotic.

Yeah I wouldn't. Any systems we get are going to be juiced up. Get a few nice coastals bombing as it tracks over 40/70 and some smaller 2-3'' events mixed in.

I'm hoping to come out of December with 30''

Had something roll through overnight or earlier this morning. Some white in the grass. Almost looks graupel like.

agreed 1000%

I'll send a video of me swabbing my nose and the results of the test

Getting one delivered for free from the USPS! Coming tomorrow.

So going to have to see. Started to feel pretty sick as the day went on and had some food and couldn’t really taste it so scheduled a covid test for Wednesday

Great post, I don't have much knowledge with the MJO and MJO forecasting, but your thoughts are similar to what I've gathered on the board over boards these years.

This is probably the only thing that has me nervous about getting a more favorable pattern so soon. Anytime it comes down to differences within the tropical pacific (i.e. MJO) it's very difficult to merit a high level of confidence given how models are notorious for not handling tropical convection/MJO progression very well in the medium+ range. Not a knock on models, it's just that aspect is awfully difficult to resolve.

Gorham is probably a more attractive name then "Hermit Lake".

I'll be there. plan on getting there for the 2 PM and probably leave around 5:30 and get home for the B's game.

yeah some nice looking soundings up north. wouldn't be surprised if a few spots picked up a couple inches or so quickly.

Could be some intense snow squalls up north tomorrow. Maybe even some thunder

I am fine with whatever. But if 2-3 people aren't going to be able to make it for 12/2 and say they are 2-3 out of like 12 that plan on going...maybe it's not a bad idea to move it. Is anyone who plans on going for 12/2 also free for 12/9?

I can’t wait until we get Storm after storm…1 storm a week for 6-7 weeks straight.

The thought of the sun beginning to set later in like 5 weeks is appealing. But yeah it takes a few weeks to really notice. For me it doesn't even really become noticeable until its like 6:00 and still light out

If that blocking does materialize, perhaps that round of blocking doesn't net us much, however, I think it will set the stage for some bigger things to come once we move towards the end of the month or into January. I seriously hope though this NAO isn't overblown. If we can get blocking like this in December...watch out. Those who went with torch December just b/c "that is strong EL Nino climo" must be sweating...and it's not from the torch either.