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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz
    Looks like the win probability for Bos/Fla during the 3rd last night
  2. weatherwiz
    Thought the same to myself when heading out the door earlier. Nearly perfect. Had a bit of a chill in the car so had some heat going, but also to clear the windshield of dew. Absolutely zero complaints about this morning. For those not blessed with this...sorry I guess.
  3. weatherwiz
    Tornado Emergency in Oklahoma...oh my
  4. weatherwiz
    congrats, welcome to the club
  5. weatherwiz
    Was scared you were going to post Ryan H***
  6. weatherwiz
    Just brutal man...really
  7. weatherwiz
    oof
  8. weatherwiz
    A good way to differentiate spring from autumn
  9. weatherwiz
    Wow...I think this is the first time I've ever seen the discussion from this event!
  10. weatherwiz
    5/31/98 featured a high risk but that was mostly NY/PA although I think the high risk may have tapped into Berkshire County/Litchfield County. 6/1/2011 I believe was Slight. I believe probs were 5% tor and 30% wind. I would guess that probably would have been a moderate. Although with the number of tornadoes which occurred that day at least, if that degree of tornadoes was anticipated it may have elicited a 15% hatched tornado which would qualify for high risk.
  11. weatherwiz
    Funny you post this...someone sent me this video earlier. That is insane. Building is totally gone in like 3 seconds.
  12. weatherwiz
    I don't think so.
  13. weatherwiz
    I wonder if we'll ever see a high risk any further east than what we saw 5/31/98. The only way it ever happens if there was a legit signal for a derecho to rip across NY/PA and SNE (or NY across NNE). We would never see a high risk for tornado probs, one reason being the spatial size of our geography is just too small. I wonder what the outlook was for 7/15/95.
  14. weatherwiz
    I would think we do break out into mostly sunny skies after the morning round of rain/thunder. Perhaps our best chance for anything is with the morning stuff which will be elevated. Looks like we remain on the stable side though in the afternoon with an onshore flow. HV could be a decent spot should convection re-develop.
  15. weatherwiz
    Wow that is cheap!
  16. weatherwiz
    I'm a bit bummed actually. When I was looking at vort, wind, and lapse rates then got to QPF I was shocked the NAM wasn't spitting much of anything out during the afternoon. Initial thoughts were maybe too much cloud junk or maybe shortwave subsidence. But getting into soundings...bone dry within the mid-levels and even into the lower-levels.
  17. weatherwiz
    blahhhh that's some nice shortwave forcing Wednesday with steep lapse rates but its awfully dry aloft.
  18. weatherwiz
    Going to be something watching how everything unfolds there later. Seems to be like the storm mode could be a bit messy. Overall though its a pretty scary setup as the greatest concern for tornadoes is evening/overnight. With the greatest concentration of forcing north of Oklahoma with a strengthening mlvl wind max across Oklahoma overnight, there could be enough for discrete supercells within Oklahoma which would not be good.
  19. weatherwiz
    oh wow...yeah I see the MCD
  20. weatherwiz
    Marginal risk tickling my fanny for Wednesday!
  21. weatherwiz
    The GFS nailed this. The Euro (at least earlier in the week) swung the ULL moreso across WA/OR and ID while the GFS dug into CA. Not sure how the Euro performed with it over the last few days. I'm sure it caught on eventually.
  22. weatherwiz
    Can't rule out some strong storms Wednesday.
  23. weatherwiz
    Anyone recommend any products to take care of this crap? I’ve tried scrubbing with bathroom cleaner and it doesn’t come off.
  24. weatherwiz
    Wait is this true? One of my friends doesn’t know what it is either and he’s good with that stuff
  25. weatherwiz
    What the heck is this thing?
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