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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. You may be able to chase tomorrow....I think the activity will persist a few hours after sunset. The GFS anyways keeps going back and forth with the timing of the front for Sunday/Monday but one of those days could be pretty decent.
  2. I think you'll see an enhanced risk with Albany on the far west flank of it.
  3. yup I'm so pissed. Had the last two weeks off and we got SQUAT. Now we going to get active. UGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
  4. Actually tomorrow could be a pretty solid severe day across a narrow corridor. Wouldn't surprised to see an enhanced risk. This is getting overlooked with all the worrying about several sites being "1-2F" too warm.
  5. Friday should be good for storms south of the Pike. I wouldn't be surprised to see some transient supercells both tomorrow and Friday. This absolutely blows...best threat tomorrow is north of the MA Pike and I'll be in Branford. Best threat Friday is down in CT and I'll be in MA
  6. make sure everyone gets tested first
  7. Sure does, could see some flash flooding too as storms should train. Shear isn't overly strong but looks like there will be a narrow corridor of bulk shear > 30 knots tomorrow within that area. Lapse rates aren't too terrible either.
  8. I was thinking about that yesterday, how much does a "higher" launching pad really influence what the high temperatures will be? I would think the correlation has to be extremely low. I would figure a higher launching pad just means you're already fairly well-mixed. Meanwhile, if you're radiating well your lows will drop. But, if you're achieving full mixing and say expecting a high of 95 or whatever...who cares if you start at 71 vs 66...all that's going to happen is you're going to see a much larger jump in the morning hours from the 66 versus the 71 once mixing gets going. (I hope this made sense haha).
  9. This is great. Wish it could stay like this right into September with the only breaks coming from cold fronts and after a day or two of relief go right back into it
  10. I love these super warm, humid summer nights with the bit of a breeze. It’s even better when you have approaching thunderstorms and you can hear the thunder rumbling in the distance.
  11. GFS with a nice severe threat for Monday
  12. GFS/NAM MOS 91 for BDL tomorrow and the NBM is 97
  13. I was really hoping for mid 70's dewpoints. There is something magical about wearing jeans and just feeling the sweat develop on your legs and if you listen super closely, you can hear a faint sizzle as the material of the jeans slowly absorbs the sweat. The sensation you get when you slowly tug the jeans down to try and take them off...it's indescribable.
  14. Maybe we should add modeled 2M temp maps to the garbage list with the snow maps
  15. For the Convective weenies, someone in the SNE Storm Chasers group made created an app for viewing SPC mesoanalysis. It’s a PITA viewing that on mobile. I downloaded the app and played around with it a bit…much easier.
  16. If people are looking for relief from the heat/humidity over the weekend they're going t have to camp out in their fridge
  17. Saturday will be hot south of the boundary but how hot will depend on how much cloud debris we have and how early convection blossoms.
  18. I was thinking something similar to myself earlier. I don't know if we'll really see any oppressive dewpoints with this. Now I don't think dews will be low enough or mix low enough for widespread 100+. The plume of richest theta-e air and llvl moisture will be off to the West.
  19. too bad corn isn't in season yet
  20. May see some thunderstorms develop across the higher terrain tomorrow, though perhaps some better coverage across NY/PA. Both the NAM/GFS have some vorticity across Michigan which all so ever slowly progresses east and doesn't even move across our region until tomorrow afternoon.
  21. Just checked the NBM percentiles for CON and you have to get into the 99th percentile to get highs in the 101-103 range. So unless we get the big mixing widespread 101-103 does seem difficult to obtain. Also, not even factoring in any potential high clouds...haven't looked into this potential yet.
  22. ehhh as much as I hate how the media hypes up weather I don't mind the big hype with the heat/humidity. Sure it's not that big of a deal to some but it is extremely dangerous. Unfortunately, there are idiots who leave kids or pets in the car and not realizing how extreme temperatures can get inside vehicles, paved surfaces are very dangerous for dog walking, and of course you have the vulnerability to the elderly, homeless population, and children.
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