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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. Was going to take a measurement at 1:00 and get some sleep but It looks like I'm about to get destroyed I've been right on the northern edge of the band but that is some hefty stuff coming in from northwest CT.
  2. This may be the heaviest of the night here so far.
  3. About 1.5” so far but should pick up quick with this band
  4. I'm really liking where this looks to be setting up. It's really pounding here. I'm going to take my first measurement at 11:30 but I definitely have to be at an inch by now and maybe close to 1.5''-2''.
  5. 8,000 posts a second in the days leading up to a storm when the models come out. When storm hits...everyone is in bed
  6. Snow starting to come down heavier. Must be getting a bit of wind too as snow is blowing sideways a bit at times. Per radar I am just about to get into the yellows.
  7. Steeper lapse rates advecting in with strengthening frontogenesis. Definitely need to watch out for some thunder snow in the next few hours.
  8. I am super curious to see how tomorrow morning plays out and whether the CCB gets a second wind. HRRR is really hitting that.
  9. best llvl frontogenesis well south. WAA is pretty strong over us but the lift is meh Looks like 850 may be getting going so we'll see what happens as frontogenesis continues to improve
  10. I'm sure we'll see things ramp up in the next few hours. We should get 850 going and you can see nice jet materializing Like seeing 700-500 fronto setting up
  11. Watch the chasing convection verify. We laugh every time we see that pop up but it seems to have screwed us on several occasions
  12. MCD Time! Mesoscale Discussion 0009 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0735 PM CST Sat Jan 06 2024 Areas affected...portions of southern New England Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 070135Z - 070730Z SUMMARY...Moderate to heavy snow will slowly increase in coverage across portions of southern New England this evening. Snowfall rates of 1-2 in/hr are possible within the heaviest band late this evening into the overnight hours. DISCUSSION...As of 0130 UTC, regional radar and surface analysis showed a broad area of stratiform precipitation ongoing across parts of the Mid Atlantic and southern New England. Associated with an approaching coastal low, periodic moderate to heavy snow/rain has been observed within this precipitation over the last several hours. Slow northeastward progression of the heaviest precip has been noted with the primary east-west oriented band stretching from east-central PA to Long Island Sound. Driven by strong low-level warm advection ahead of the deepening coastal low, moderate to heavy snow should slowly increase in coverage over portions of southern New England late this evening and into the overnight hours. Rates between 1 to 2 in/hour are possible within the primary band, though there remains some uncertainty on how quickly the heaviest snow will lift northward. Light snow has already been reported across parts of RI, MA and CT but, regional model soundings and observed ceilings above 4k feet suggest some low-level dry air remains in place. Inland moisture advection and the approach of the surface low should slowly cool and moisten the low-level thermodynamic profile sufficiently for higher snow rates after 03z. Periods of moderate to heavy snow will likely continue into the overnight hours. ..Lyons.. 01/07/2024
  13. Temps may jump up a few degrees as the low strengthens and the winds pick up a bit, especially if things track on the northern side of some guidance.
  14. yeah it's pretty wild to see these differences. Kind of inclined to side with the mesos at this point. I haven't gotten to look in heavy detail today but it seems the HRRR is starting to establish some sort of consistency, at least regarding the banding.
  15. That is quite the unstable layer with some intense lift it it as well. Going to be a fun time under the banding.
  16. models shomdels...its now casting time. This will be one of the most fun maps to watch the remainder of the evening
  17. Wow this snow is coming quick. Visiting my mom at the hospital in New Britain and certainly want to get back to Springfield before it starts. I also need to get a ruler b/c mine is broken. Observation: the sky definitely looks like snow! Can’t wait
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