Floydbuster

I remember Claudette in early July of 2003. Developed into a strong TS/minimal Cat 1, quickly died in the Eastern and Central Caribbean, but found it's way back in the Western Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico and struck Texas as a 90 mph hurricane.

I always am wary of systems like Bret because even if it "dies" in the Eastern Caribbean, that doesn't preclude it returning and striking land further west as a stronger system down the road.

1 minute ago, BYG Jacob said:

 

Sucks. Thankfully it's a less populated area, but still.

Thankfully from what I'm reading on twitter, the radar looks much scarier than what seems to be happening on the ground.

Nasty storm, definitely a lake runner though. Should run through Vermillion and Lorain. 

Definitely a more dry summer. I notice every time rain is forecast, the percentages become lower and lower the closer we get to the forecast day. I love it though. I want hot, sunny and dry.

4 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

Interesting too that like Charley it came in much further south than forecast a few days out....all the media attention was on Tampa and instead it comes in 150 miles further S

It's amazing how much Ian was like Charley. The track, the exact landfall point, the exact landfall intensity. The only difference was time of year. Charley was a fast, speedy, tiny little furious early/mid-August hurricane. When Ian struck it was nearly October. 

Quite a nasty little strike. Roads were very treacherous near Akron area around mid-afternoon. 

Lost power for around 9 hours! Had to go down the street to my sister's house to have warmth. Nasty storm.

I’m debating whether or not to call off work this afternoon. I’m still without power here.

Getting closer to me here. 

My mom is in Medina County and she said she plans on "waking up early and going to the grocery store". I tried telling her how bad it should be in the early morning hours and she said "They've been wrong before."

For the sake of the weather community, I hope NE Ohio is buried tomorrow. Bah-humbug. 

4 minutes ago, OHweather said:

Definitely some snowier trends with the post-frontal burst later tonight into tomorrow morning for a good portion of central and eastern OH. Thinking the Cleveland area has a good 4-6” down by midday with whatever light wraparound comes after. Curious to see how my drive back down 480 goes at 8 or 9am assuming I choose to try it. 

4-6 inches with those insane winds and sub-zero wind chills could make tomorrow a nightmare. 

4 minutes ago, dilly84 said:

Other forum going bonkers because Illinois and others aren't breaking 1 or 2 inches. Hopefully that's not the case here

For once, maybe Cleveland will outdo Chicago!

Future radar shows the snow line cutting through the state overnight.

13 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

That's the potentially negative thing about the storm trending downward.  Many more people may risk going out.

Funny thing is here in Ohio, we seem to expecting a bit worse than we were thinking earlier.

Does anyone have a time estimate for the exact temperature drop throughout Eastern Ohio? I almost want to stand outside to experience it, if indeed it happens within just a few minutes. The GFS shows it around 12-5am Friday morning.

14 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said:

Topography out there definitely influences it then it gets in Plains and is like YEET. Lol. Apparently KC area getting a good glaze of ice now. Don't remember that being forecasted. 

My local NWS forecast near Akron, OH has heavy snow earlier than before. Emphasizing Thursday night more than Friday mid-day.

8 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said:

For you yes. Here not so much or I won't see hardly any snow if it moves through too fast

True. I was speaking for NE Ohio.

Just now, StormChaser4Life said:

Curious if this will mean a quicker hitting snow if cf is faster and stronger caa eating at western edge of snow. Hi res hinted at that in previous runs but 0z seemed to have improved it a bit. 

I'd prefer it earlier. I'd rather have it move out before Christmas Day.

2 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said:

Saw someone share this on FB

Wow. Definitely different vibes than 24 hrs ago.

00Z GFS aggressive with snow totals in NE Ohio. Probably overdoing it, but still.

Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
947 PM EST Wed Dec 21 2022

OHZ009>011-013-019>023-PAZ003-221100-
/O.CON.KCLE.WS.W.0007.221223T0600Z-221224T1500Z/
Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Geauga-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-
Crawford-
Including the cities of Sandusky, Huron, Lorain, Elyria,
North Ridgeville, Avon Lake, Cleveland, Chardon, South Russell,
Bainbridge, Chesterland, Middlefield, Burton, Norwalk, Willard,
Brunswick, Medina, Wadsworth, Akron, Kent, Aurora, Streetsboro,
Ravenna, Warren, Niles, Meadville, and Titusville
947 PM EST Wed Dec 21 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO
10 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Multi-hazard winter storm with a combination of strong
  winds, very cold temperatures, snow, and blowing snow
  expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches. Winds
  gusting as high as 60 mph. Wind chills values could be as low
  as 20 below zero.

* WHERE...Erie, Lorain and Huron counties.

* WHEN...From 1 AM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Areas of blowing
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous
  conditions could severely impact the Friday morning commute
  and any holiday travel. Strong winds could cause tree damage.
  The cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero could cause
  frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A window of brief intense snowfall is
  expected with a cold front Thursday night. This front will
  bring a sharp temperature drop over a matter of a few hours,
  where temperatures above freezing will drop to the single
  digits by Friday afternoon. A flash freeze is possible with
  this occurrence. Winds will increase across the area early
  Friday, especially Friday night, and be the main hazard for
  the area with blowing snow also potentially causing hazardous
  travel. Strong winds could cause damage to trees, bring down
  power lines, and blow around unsecured objects. From Friday
  through Sunday, a period of almost 48 hours where temperatures
  remain in the single digits is possible. This combined with
  the strong winds would allow for a long period of wind chills
  well below zero and increase exposure risk and infrastructure
  concerns across the area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

Any around Lake Erie and Northern Ohio?

Anyone have any snowfall prediction maps?

Can someone explain to us non-winter weather weenies what the deal is with this storm? Not enough moisture to produce large accumulations?