Floydbuster

On 4/30/2019 at 8:04 PM, Windspeed said:

Right. But from a climatological and historical perspective, the SSTs of the northern gulf shelf by Sept-Oct have generally cooled below what is required to support a rapidly deepening Cat 5. Sure, the central, southern GOM and Bay of Campeche would continue supporting Cat 5 intensity through October, but those storms tend to weaken drastically if steered into the N. GOM. Major hurricane Opal being a prime example. October of 2018 hopefully remains anomalous in its mutliple contributing factors that lead to Michael, as generally multiple cold fronts have swept through the northern gulf by mid-to-late September and subsequent dry continental air plus radiational cooling has brought down mean heat content by 3-4°C. Again, it's one thing to consider a rare Category 5 threat in July, August, perhaps still even September, but October? Michael is hopefully the rarest of generational occurrences.

I have to agree. The lack of cold fronts and troughs also contributed to Hurricane Florence's unlikely westward progression from Africa northwest into the middle of the Atlantic Ocean, to an eventual landfall in North Carolina. 

I suspect Hurricane Isidore (2002) peaked as a 115 kt Category 4 hurricane. Operationally, it never got higher than 110 kt, despite an astounding satellite appearance, high dvorak numbers, and a pressure of 934 mb. But I suspect it reached Category 4 strength prior to landfall in the Yucatan.

Still very little. It's dark but I can see small flakes falling at a good clip but at first glance outside, it's still calm here in Stow. Very strange. We had a couple inches but nowhere near how bad it was between 2pm and 5pm.

Momentarily, the snow has completely stopped here in Stow. Not even blowing. Just nothing. Calm.

I work in Summit County, I'm considering calling off if it's too bad. I don't have to make that decision for a few hours. How heavy will the snow be around 3-3:30pm, ya think?

I'm near the Akron area, any thoughts on the timing and impact for us?

First Cat 4 hurricane landfall in Puerto Rico since 1932. Unbelievable. 

Worst snow yet here in Stow. The video lighting makes it appear less worse than it is.

video-1489532137.mp4

2 hours ago, OHweather said:

Every ob around you reported snow by like 8pm, and I'm not 10 miles from you and it was definitely snowing, so you're severely exaggerating. With that said, the synoptic snow did underperform...I have close to 3" in NE Summit County, was hoping for a little more.  Every LSR from CLE so far has been 2-3.5" for north central and NE Ohio, which is a couple of inches lower than I would have hoped for. 

I swear, it still looks like you can see the grass to some extent. It has snowed since I last posted, but not too much. Maybe 2'' since the last six hours.

1 hour ago, OHweather said:

The issue is maps have been floating around of 8-12" down to southern Summit County which won't occur outside of perhaps a very localized corridor that sees a good LES band Tuesday night. 

Yeah I'm near Stow and still no precipitation at all as of 3:35am.

Here in Southern Summit County...nothing yet. Looks very clear outside. If it doesn't deliver decently, folks will call this one a bust.

As more knowledgeable in hurricanes than tornadoes...how does the Outbreak of 2011 rank compared to the Outbreak of '74?

The huge dry slot is keeping Ohio out of this one...but I can't remember seeing winds like this since the Spring/Summer of 2003 during the day after day durechoes that moved through.

A few minutes ago my power flickered and it sounded like something slammed in my house. I heard some snapping of trees in my backyard.

Sustained winds 35 mph...recent gust to 51 mph here. Straight-line 30 mph.