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Floydbuster

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Everything posted by Floydbuster

  1. Floydbuster
    Quite a nasty lashing for Barbuda, still an obvious far cry from Irma
  2. Floydbuster
    Hurricane Tammy has strengthened a bit up to 80 mph as the core gets close to Martinique and Dominica.
  3. Floydbuster
  4. Floydbuster
    Seems like four scenarios thus far: 1. Strong major hurricane (like Lee) taking track north of islands 2. Strong major hurricane striking islands 3. Weaker storm/hurricane (Like Nigel and Philippe) taking track north of islands 4. Weaker storm (Like Bret) striking islands
  5. Floydbuster
    Wow do those EURO ensembles make Invest 94L a monster hurricane in the Caribbean.
  6. Floydbuster
  7. Floydbuster
  8. Floydbuster
    As long as Philippe dissipates by the Caribbean and doesn't bring some kind of vorticity into the Northwest Caribbean.
  9. Floydbuster
    I suspect we still have more activity to come.
  10. Floydbuster
    This will be designated Tropical Storm Nigel at 11pm.
  11. Floydbuster
    Still would watch the waves that progress west towards the Caribbean. I remember Hurricane Iris in October 2001 came from a heavily sheared wave in the eastern and central Atlantic that eventually made it into the Caribbean Sea.
  12. Floydbuster
  13. Floydbuster
    Video Update on Lee https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_fiR9IOZnBE For how bad Lee looks on satellite, recon still shows this is a very powerful hurricane. Easy 100 mph and large.
  14. Floydbuster
    Many do, but some show a much closer Bahamas approach than Lee ever came to. And now the 12Z GFS has a New England landfall in the long-range. Definitely something to watch regardless.
  15. Floydbuster
    The long-range GFS has a 1996 scenario with Hurricane Lee taking a track similar to Hurricane Edouard '96 and a new system slamming into North Carolina as the worst strike since Hurricane Fran '96. This season just feels so much like '96, especially with that constant wave train.
  16. Floydbuster
    Don't be surprised to see another storm or two off Africa before the Cape Verde season turns off.
  17. Floydbuster
    Video Update on Lee
  18. Floydbuster
    The weakening of Lee reminds me a lot of Hurricane Frances in 2004, when it was unexpectedly undercut by shear.
  19. Floydbuster
    I agree. I don't think Dorian gets the respect it deserves.
  20. Floydbuster
    Interesting that the NHC takes Lee up to 180 mph in 12 hours, I actually got the feeling it might be peaking out tonight before possible future deepening again over the weekend.
  21. Floydbuster
    Wasn't there discussion after Irma that people put way too much stock into the SFMR?
  22. Floydbuster
    That infrared loop looks extremely similar to Hurricane Rita in September 2005, when Rita explosively deepened in the Gulf of Mexico.
  23. Floydbuster
    Invest 96L looks great, my guess is this may be "Margot" already if their is a circulation underneath that bursting convection.
  24. Floydbuster
    The 18Z GFS had a 944 mb hurricane near the Turks and Caicos at 366 hrs, and it's not Lee.
  25. Floydbuster
    Continued west motion and a center formation in the near-term could have huge impacts for the U.S. Virgin Islands on determining how close this system may get.
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