OceanStWx
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Everything posted by OceanStWx
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Any more info?
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And another (just south of North Sutton) looks like it will pass south of you.
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Yes, it was a promotion. But I didn't know I was a closet severe weenie until I tasted it in the Midwest.
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At least you didn't make this move.
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Isn't that Mitch's burner account?
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No, but it threw something into the air. Black flies?
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I mean TDS height approaching 10 kft and Vrot of 25 kt would put you in the high end EF1/low end EF2 range. So I would think we would eventually hear something.
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Interesting storms today. The shear is there, instability lagging as usual. Meh from BTV, but big beam blockage. I've been keeping an eye on Canadian radars for our northern storms, and this is something... That sure looks like a TDS in the Northeast Kingdom.
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Wawa webcam looks like it's trying.
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Definitely looks like some catpaws at least mixing in at Dublin around 1500 ft.
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Looks like a pretty classic destructive sunshine kind of day. Cold pool aloft, any heating will pop showers. CAPE is actually around 250, so small hail is possible.
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It went to the model hallucination hall of fame. But really I think our biggest issue locally was that the precip ended too fast. The bottom of the melting layer was probably only a couple hundred feet above your place when the precip ended.
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Definitely snowing on the summit of Sunapee right now, so it's down to around 2,500 feet.
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CAMs seemed to have a better idea than the rest (of course many of them have explicit pytpe forecasts). You could see the CC ring collapsing towards GYX this morning, but unfortunately the precip ended before it got to the ground.
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@CT Rain wakes up in the middle of the night thinking about this day.
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What a gorgeous stretch it was in ITH for a change.
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We make our hay other times of the year, the problem lately has definitely been relying on summer to catch us up to normal precip. That just isn't likely to happen.
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Impressive to send the Saco at Fryeburg to flood considering how low streamflow was before this.
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I think the thunder thing is just climo. Storms are naturally going to fall apart as they near the colder water. One thing we have seemingly trended towards though is more rain in shorter periods of time. So while yearly precip could be normal or above normal, when we get rain it is too much too fast and it doesn't actually alleviate drought conditions.
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It's going to be nothing but bare napes and hairy arms out the window up here if we can just get a stretch of normal temps.
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It was brief, but it got sunny here at GYX.
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Permanent change. I haven't seen the updated best coverage of the lowest scan maps yet, but I think we're now looking at BOX being the better radar from near PSM to Sunapee. The biggest change is we gain like 2000 feet of viewing near EEN, and ENX is basically no longer necessary to look at.
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Had to make a tough call for a necessary 2 day outage. Bring her down for a widespread rain event where BOX could cover the most threatened area or bring her down in June when random thunderstorms could be too far away from other radars. By the way congrats on BOX being at least as good as GYX in the low levels for your area now that they dropped their lowest scan to 0.3 degrees.
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HREF mean is like 2-2.25" for parts of our area. Typically we've found that the max HREF QPF may not occur in the right area, but it occurs somewhere in the CWA. That's like 4+, so I believe it.
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This is just the pre-Christmas forecast.
