OceanStWx

Unless policy has changed the QCA has siren activation at 70+ and many surrounding towns had begun to adopt it.

It looks like that gust was part of a mesovortex that formed a little north of town. Probably locally enhanced the wind, but looks like it has also set off a new descending RIJ that is now bowing the line out in the area between I-80 and Highway 30.

Temps. Warm days, cool nights, less favorable time of year for weeds as well. Up here that's typically late August to early September, but as you push south it moves deeper into September.

Some sort of moisture boundary sitting there through DVN's CWA (upper 70s south, low to mid 70s north) and heating both sides of it. Some serious potential here.

Honestly me too. Give me an extended fall though, still would like to overseed and get some stone work done.

Swamp maple in my neighbors yard is already turning red and throwing leaves.

I had pest control over (I don't want the 2 year old wandering nearby) and what luck, some animal came along and dug out the nest between my mowing and his arrival. My guess is the Raid I used to knock down the swarm enticed some critter in to clean up the dead ones. What workers were left buzzing around looked like bald-faced hornets to him, but that surprised me given I saw no documentation of nesting underground. Either way they hurt, and I'm glad they're gone. I've been looking to get some for the yard myself, so I don't know much besides what I've researched. Any signs of fungus or pests?

Well the day finally came. I was out mowing before heading to work and stepped on a nest of something that likes to sting/bite. I think I escaped with only about a half dozen burning/throbbing welts. Still not sure what they were though. Nest was clearly in the ground, they fly, it's a searing sting/bite, but didn't look anything like a yellow jacket. Looked smaller to me, blackish body and yellowish legs.

If I'm going to have to go with a full tropical forecast up here it damn well better strengthen to a hurricane.

I think that's actually a warm wake off the top of the convection, the center should be tucked just south of that pink tower. But convection is wrapping around the center which is good.

Honestly don't hate the 18z 3 km NAM wind gust forecast. Right look to the wind field, if not within a few knots of what I expect the gusts to be like. Also chucks a few updraft helicity tracks for Ryan Tuesday evening.

For an East Coast recurve, you want a good upstream jet streak, mid level ridging north of the cyclone, and a good low level theta-e ridge drawn north extending well NE of the center. Model forecasts are pretty close to this conceptual model.

It's a pretty solid pattern for a PRE based on the conceptual models.

Tossed.

I always seem to struggle at that course. I used always park my first tee shot into the backyards right, but now my hook really gets me into trouble all over the place. I think last time I played there I couldn't hold the greens. If you hit the middle it would roll off every time.

I was afraid someone would say that.

@tamarack any tips for trying to transplant it somewhere it'll do better? I feel like trying to save it is better than just ripping it out of the dripline of the house.

Found this growing behind some old pallets on the side of my house. Looks like white ash to me. Hard to figure out how it got there unless the other trees on the property are also white ash.

That's the key, you have to be in the fairway otherwise you are giving up too much distance to be consistently worth it to lay up. It also helps to know your course. If I'm unfamiliar I'm way more likely to grab a hybrid off the tee if it's tight or short. When I read the book by the inventor of strokes gained my eyes were really opened about the game in general and how to improve your score. More or less amateurs aren't consistent enough reap the benefits of laying up, so you are almost always better off being closer to the hole in the rough than farther and in the fairway. Honestly freed me up a bit.

Was taking a walk today with my son and confirmed that the next street over definitely has white ash planted as a street tree, but definitely a more dry environment there than what's in my backyard. I did plant a couple rhododendron viscosum (lemon drop) along the edge though to try and beautify things for next spring.

Yeah it's pretty nasty. I cut it back late winter, but the puckerbrush is spilling over some of the alder branches to form a nice wall.

I was thinking hickory as a possibility too, but I'm trying to remember what its flowers looked like in the spring. I guess I don't take enough pictures of my yard.

Watch it not even be ash.

Looks like I need to figure out how many leaflets per leaf.