OceanStWx

You would need an area of 45% hatched winds, which is probably a little too much to ask out of this event. I could see 45% wind, but hatched may be a stretch.

I'm not entirely surprised to see that composite go high. All guidance agrees on one thing: where the warm front settles will be a focus for severe weather. They differ a little on placement, but the evolution is quite consistent.

Even that inverted BDL sounding still has 1100 J/kg MUCAPE available.

It's a tough set up, not really a broad threat area but concentrated near the warm front wherever it ends up. Check out the differences between BDL and JFK. Neither of those is going to pop storms.

Awkward to handle for sure.

Phone lines went down and that's usually how we get ASOS obs out. 50+ knots for 30 minutes and counting.

I believe AWG was 126 mph in the June 1998 derecho.

They are one of the best counties at reporting storm damage too.

Unless policy has changed the QCA has siren activation at 70+ and many surrounding towns had begun to adopt it.

It looks like that gust was part of a mesovortex that formed a little north of town. Probably locally enhanced the wind, but looks like it has also set off a new descending RIJ that is now bowing the line out in the area between I-80 and Highway 30.

Some sort of moisture boundary sitting there through DVN's CWA (upper 70s south, low to mid 70s north) and heating both sides of it. Some serious potential here.

I always seem to struggle at that course. I used always park my first tee shot into the backyards right, but now my hook really gets me into trouble all over the place. I think last time I played there I couldn't hold the greens. If you hit the middle it would roll off every time.

That's the key, you have to be in the fairway otherwise you are giving up too much distance to be consistently worth it to lay up. It also helps to know your course. If I'm unfamiliar I'm way more likely to grab a hybrid off the tee if it's tight or short. When I read the book by the inventor of strokes gained my eyes were really opened about the game in general and how to improve your score. More or less amateurs aren't consistent enough reap the benefits of laying up, so you are almost always better off being closer to the hole in the rough than farther and in the fairway. Honestly freed me up a bit.

Time to go back and recalculate what I could've been. Edit: Looks like I was TOO consistent. New method only drops my best run to 9.5.

I've taken to lining those up like a putt with my PW/52 (if it's a real tight pin maybe the 56 or 60) and getting the heel off the ground. So I just stroke it like I would a putt for distance and it pops out really consistent. I change the club based on the distance to the pin.

I'm really shaky. I'm struggling with partial shots. 95% of the time I'm long. Long is never a good place to be.

I think I could convince my wife to get a family membership at a place like Falmouth (ME) because they have tennis and a pool. Great for kids! I'd say I'm 75% of the way to convince her already.

Honestly the iron game just wasn't that strong. Straight but often short, right, or left. Chip and a putt later and I walked away with par or bogey. If I was consistently hitting GIR I would've easily been living in the mid to high 70s because I had a strong putter. Now we birdie and then give it away with doubles and triples.

It's a crime I have only played that course once, but I also didn't start playing seriously until 2008. Shot my first round in the 80s in 2012, and first 79 in 2016. 2017 I knew we were going to try to have a kid so it was a grind to get the index below 10. Shot my best 9 (36, +1) and had a couple 78s and managed to sneak it down to 9.7 by the end of the year. I was probably a small adjustment away on my approach shots from being really good, but the season ended and the rest is history.

When you play every week it's pretty amazing how it all comes together quickly. But there are still flashes, as long as I can hang onto those I'm happy. I've gone 50/41 and 42/46 in my most recent rounds. Chuck the 50 and I'm content.

Having a kid has done a number on my handicap (only 4 rounds so far this year) but every once and a while it still comes together for me. Played with Ekster last week and split the fairway in half on 1 about 280. Had about 120 in and parked it to 1 foot. Probably should've just walked back to the parking lot though.

That's what my practice swing always looks like. I honestly think 90% of my problems could be solved with a "slow back and accelerate through" but I tend to accelerate back and overswing. I know I'm doomed when I can see the club head out of my left eye cross the plane at the top of my backswing (I'm right handed).

Nearly gave myself heat stroke today, but I dragged myself around 18 walking. 50 back (teed off 10) and 41 front.

I've been tracking that for a bunch of years now, I've been pretty consistently averaging about 240 carry. Depending on how damp the course is anywhere from 250-270 on the roll out. The good swings can get me 270 carry and near 300 on the roll out. I would really like to figure out how to do that consistently, because the game does get easier.

First round in on Saturday at Belgrade Lakes. Normally my crap posture means I fat my shots early in the year, but my big miss was topped shots all day. 52 on the front then resorted to G&Ts and managed 3 pars on the back, actually 3 of the last 5.